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Strategies & Market Trends : India Coffee House -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JPR who wrote (963)	5/28/1998 10:30:00 AM
From: peter michaelson	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 12475

JPR and all: I hear all this intellectual strategy discussion here, but no mention of the possibility of the 'sibling rivalry' resulting in actual nuclear genocide, which could result in hundreds of millions of casualties and untold suffering. It is now a stronger possibility than before, don't you think? Peter

To: JPR who wrote (963)	5/28/1998 10:37:00 AM
From: Mohan Marette	Respond to of 12475

Smiling Buddha,Laughing Cows and Chinese weapons-What a deal. JPR: According to Jane's Defence Weekly Pakis may already have chinese supplied nuclear weapons up to 30 in numbers. ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Source: Times of India, Jane's Defence Weekly,PTI +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ PAK(it) may have a ''nuclear arsenal which works'' - based on a Chinese design handed over to it in the '80s, says the Janes defence weekly. In its latest edition, the weekly said the reason for what it called ''China's extra-ordinary generosity'' might have been Pakistani nuclear scientists sharing secrets of processes to enrich uranium to weapons grade using high-speed centrifuges. The Chinese handed over the nuclear bomb design which it tested at Lop Nor ranges in southwestern part of the country in 1966, producing a yield equivalent to about 20,000 tonne of conventional high explosive, it said. ''In Pakistani hands, the Chinese design was changed so (that) it could be carried by an American supplied F-16 fighter bomber, three squadrons of which were delivered before the Americans cut off supplies in 1990,'' Janes reported. The help from Beijing is thought to have extended to a test-firing of the modified Pakistani design carried out in the late '80s during one of China's series of tests. The magazine said China is also said to have helped Pakistan build a research reactor which can produce small amounts of plutonium, a vital ingredient for hydrogen bombs. ''Pakistan has nuclear devices which can be quickly turned into bombs. The country's scientists claim they need seven days' notice and experts reckon Pakistan may have up to 30 bombs already,'' the weekly said. But the magazine as well as defence experts doubted whether Pakistan had acquired the capability of producing thermo-nuclear bombs which would give it the capacity of making nuclear warheads for its Ghauri and other surface- to-surface missiles. They pointed out that Islamabad may be facing the same problem as it has with the firing of its medium-range surface-to-surface missile Ghauri, ''which did not go beyond 600 km, though it was claimed it has a range of 1,500 km.'' The weekly said in comparison to Pakistan's ''part acquired, part clandestine and part developed nuclear programme,'' India's nuclear programme was far advanced and largely ''home grown.'' The recent nuclear tests conducted by India had confirmed that it had the design and capability of a warhead that could be fitted into missiles, the magazine said. It predicted India, in the next stage, might go in for developing and deploying its intermediate range ballistic missile Agni by improving its range from 1,500 km to 2,500 km. The weekly said India had enforced a ''nuclear doctrine'' for its armed forces, which meant that though the nuclear warheads would be produced they would not not be fitted on the missile till top-level political clearance. The magazine said the latest tests by India also indicated that it had the capacity to build tactical nuclear weapons as distinct from strategic ones. ''Indian scientists will now go ahead with the design of a tactical weapon and make some prototypes. However, military opinion is still divided on whether tactical weapons should be deployed,'' Janes said, adding the latest tests have paved the way for India to conduct sub-critical tests. ''India will now experiment extensively with sub-critical testing, and in the process develop skills to stimulate explosions using computers, a skill which Pakistan lacks,'' the weekly added. India, with its added capability of satellite launching, could use the same launching rockets as inter- continental ballistic missiles, it said. ''To thwart this, the US and Russia may cut off rocket technologies to India, but Indian scientists reckon they can do the job themselves within five years.'' (PTI)