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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Ron Bower who wrote (3969)	5/28/1998 10:27:00 PM
From: Otimer	Respond to of 9980

CNBC said that Pakistan is arming their missles with nuclear warheads and that Pakistan is on alert-how will mkts react?

To: Ron Bower who wrote (3969)	5/28/1998 10:40:00 PM
From: Zeev Hed	Respond to of 9980

Ron, pretty good thinking. But you are missing one small point, the rate of population growth (people coming into the labor market) exceeds the rate of job creation, particularly in the face of a determined drive to reduce government employment and inefficient industries. I do not think that this will come to the "boiling point" but it would require diversion of resources and thus slowing down of infrastructure build up. However, in general, China will be the engine of growth over the next 20 years of Asia and quite a big patch of the rest of the world. Don't you salivate at the idea of increasing the world consumer society by at least some 200 MM Chinese (a very small portion of their total population) over the next 20 years or so? China, will gradually slide into the capitalistic camp, slowly slowly, maybe it will take 50 years, but they'll get there without the type of upheaval Russia has gone through. Zeev