For me, too many questions, not enough answers! Well, I was hoping by now I would have sold most of my shares at a buck, but at the risk of damaging the shares I still hold, here goes:
I think we have been asking only the easier questions on this thread, because the hard questions will just scare people away. But, you cant help but wonder about several important issues. Outside of this thread there are surely people in the mining community who are following the story. These folks very likely have a better picture of the whole thing than we do, and those people seem not to be driving the stock price up.
When I got in the morning of the news, I could not get in fast enough. But the fact that as time goes by, the price is dropping suggests that as people find out more, they like this less.
Now before everybody starts flaming me, here are my top five questions I would like answered--unless I manage to find out some answers, I see no reason to be adding to my shares, and maybe I should sell the 15,000 I still have!
1. I already asked about the lack of drilling. Dr Hausen "recommended against its use due to the deposit's characteristics. Instead, a program of channeling, trenching and pitting was chosen because of increased representative sample size." Does anybody on the thread know this fellow? Is anybody from Newmont lurking who would have known this fellow? As somebody who is completely unfamiliar with how these things are done, scooping samples from trenchs, pits, and shafts doesn't sound so good. This concern has been raised before, but it apparently was Hausen's decision to make--what are the odds it was the right decision? Or was it simply a faster and cheaper decision?
Again, as somebody who is not a miner, I would have guessed that, unless the thing is terribly hard to set up, you could at least shoot sideways into a hill a hundred feet to get a nice virgin sample. Better than digging, yes/no?
2. Why does the website not have any useful information. And why doesn't their webmaster get rid of those dang flames?! Finally, with regards to the website, if they had used smaller jpegs they would have had at least the same quality images but a much smaller size, those bitmaps suck.
3. Regarding those pictures, it looks like many were taken fairly recently, when the problems with the El-Nino rains were at a height. Nonetheless, the proximity of the river at Cueva Playa is troubling to me, even after the rains have ended and the river is mostly dry. I've mentioned the Ruth copper pit several times, because it is my only experience with seeing these things. With the mountain on one side, and the river on the other, is there really enough room for the pit at this location and what is the risk that water keeps filling a pit up? Is there a nice big flat area off to the side with room for a pit? Or is the pit going in a totally different area. Has anybody seen a map? These folks are supposed to have an area which is 9km long--how wide?
4. Has anybody who can speak spanish contacted Adan Zamora (Bolivia's Vice-Minister of Mining) to see if he has heard yet from Mr. Giovanni Viscarra ("a geologist on whom I rely regarding the Tipuani area.").
5. Assuming that at any moment the stock price exactly reflects what is known by all the investors out there, to what extent have we, on this thread, been moving the price and screwing ourselves?
The mine website shows that only 6380 hits have been logged. How many were we responsible for? If the answer is most of them, maybe there has been very little outside influence on the stock price and so it is unfairly low?? Or am I giving Silicon Investor too much credit--Probably--if there are a hundred people from SI hitting the site repeatedly, that still could only account for 1000 hits, so I would say that WE are not having an effect on the stock price, there are too many other folks outside of SI who are aware of it. These people also seem to be disheartened. (I guess I should also ask, when was the website counter last reset--well, this is just a silly guessing game, nevermind).
It is strange that nomatter what the price of a share is, the risk seems to be fairly constant. I don't feel like I know much more than I did when it was a nickle! And yet this huge press release is out there saying 6.4M PROVEN.
It is always a damn leap of faith--if it were not, we'd be at a buck. You know, the smartest investors probably realized early, that none of the risks would ease until there is an open pit mine operating profitably at the site. Somewhere there is an investor with a lot of very cheap shares, and he is not even keeping up with his bet at all--that person is the smartest of all. |