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To: Filbert who wrote (188)	5/29/1998 12:00:00 PM
From: Henry Volquardsen	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3536

FWIW I agree that Pakistan is more vulnerable to sanctions than India. However, as some on this thread know, I have a pretty cynical view of politicians in general and I believe the current occupant of the White House is one of the worst of the breed. In the world of Realpolitik, Pakistan has a lot of leverage. As Filbert has pointed out they have been an important part of US policy for years. They were important in the containment of the USSR, especially after the invasion of Afghanistan. They have remained important in the post USSR era for a number of reasons; they continue to provide a listening post for activities in the former USSR and are a potential bulwark against Iran/Iraq. It will be very easy for them to let the West know that if they are faced with severe economic distress they can raise money by selling the bomb technology to Iran. The West will be desperate for them not to play this card. So my admittedly cynical view is that the current moral outrage is all a shadow play for media consumption. This is a perfect opportunity to demagogue the issue for public consumption. As the public goes on to focus on the next media sensation our jello-for-spine politicians will find ways around imposing sanctions in exchange for Pakistan not exporting the technology.

To: Filbert who wrote (188)	5/29/1998 12:08:00 PM
From: Chip McVickar	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3536

Hello Filbert The air waves are filled with comments today Assoc Press States that Pakistan's President Rafig Tarar declared a state of emergrency.... This order suspends the constitution and legal system, civil rights are on hold and extrordinary powers are given to the government. Foreign currency accounts are frozen and a banking holiday has been enforced. They maintained that India had loaded commercial airliners with waepons to knock out Pakistans nuclear facilities..... I have a feeling this is the politicans at work and nothing will come of it except noise...... Also it could be preparing the people for a long period of hardship that will overtake the country if as you suggest the foreign money stops coming. I wonder if Pakistan is now expendable....since the USSR is nolonger..? (I think this remote) We Shall See Chip