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To: PaulM who wrote (12383)5/29/1998 10:27:00 PM
From: Alex  Respond to of 116895
 
Paul; and who ever said there was no Santa Claus : - )



To: PaulM who wrote (12383)5/29/1998 11:41:00 PM
From: Terry Rose  Respond to of 116895
 
Paul, One of the reasons I like buying gold assets besides the cheap price is all this IMF intervention. It should ultimately succeed in nothing more than delaying the inevitable recessions in these countries that it "intended" to help. The delaying actions are mainly to protect large institutional investors and once the money is gone natural forces take over.

The most likely outcomes of the Asia crisis are a global recession or inflation due to all the money created to prevent it. Either outcome should be good for gold. Since I don't think the IMF has enough money to resurrect the economies of several countries I'm betting on global recession.

Terry,



To: PaulM who wrote (12383)5/30/1998 1:43:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116895
 
Rating blow to Russia, but IMF cash due
soon
04:56 p.m May 29, 1998 Eastern
By Martin Nesirky
MOSCOW (Reuters) - The International Monetary
Fund said Friday it would give Russia a much-needed
cash injection soon to help tackle a financial crisis that
has unsettled foreign investors and threatened market
reforms.
But as the IMF, German Chancellor Helmut Kohl and
President Boris Yeltsin praised government emergency
plans to cut spending and boost budget revenues,
credit agency Moody's signaled pessimism by
downgrading Russia's sovereign debt rating.
''All ratings carry a negative outlook,'' Moody's
Investors Service said in a statement. Russian Deputy
Prime Minister Viktor Khristenko said Moscow did
not agree with the move, which makes it harder for the
country to raise money abroad.
IMF Russia expert John Odling-Smee told a news
conference he did not believe Moscow would have
any problem seeking support at home or abroad, and
that Russian markets would soon stabilize.
The IMF's next $670 million tranche of an existing
$9.2 billion loan was not too far off, he said, praising
the Russian government's action plan to chase tax
dodgers and cut spending.
''It should be possible to finalize the board meeting in
a few weeks, certainly before the end of June,''
Odling-Smee said. ''The money would then become
available within a couple of days.''
Market experts said Western governments and banks
were mobilizing efforts to provide fresh support to
Russia to help it avert an economic collapse.
''There is no question that governments and banks
have been working around the clock talking about the
possibility of supplementary support,'' said Stuart
Brown, head of emerging market research at Paribas
bank in London.
In Washington, the Russian embassy said visiting
former reform chief Anatoly Chubais, now head of
electricity firm UES, was meeting U.S. Deputy
Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers. It gave no
further details.
A run on the ruble and shares has depleted reserves
and forced the central bank to treble interest rates to
150 percent.
Friday, the ruble was fixed a shade firmer at 6.1380
per dollar but the benchmark RTS share index closed
down 3.75 percent at 191.29, partly in response to the
Moody's move.
''Everyone was expecting good news and we got
bad,'' said ING Barings dealer Oleg Galkin.
Russian tycoon Boris Berezovsky said in Kazakhstan
that all 11 other members of the Commonwealth of
Independent States, loosely linking most ex-Soviet
republics, would feel the effect of the Russian crisis. In
Romania, there was panic share-selling.
As promised by Yeltsin, heads began to roll in
Moscow because of the financial problems.
Russian news agencies reported that tax service chief
Alexander Pochinok and Valery Chernyayev, in
charge of the state-run Transneft pipeline company,
had been sacked.
The president put off a number of meetings, including
with leading Russian businessmen, but he met Prime
Minister Sergei Kiriyenko for the second day running
to discuss a crisis which could affect political stability
as well as market reforms.
The government later issued an eight-page statement
outlining its measures to tackle the twin problem of
market turmoil and a budget squeeze.
''The reasons behind what has happened are quite
clear,'' it said. ''They are linked to a juxtaposition
during the same period of time of a series of negative
factors, including the crisis on Asian markets and the
falling prices of Russia's export goods.''
It said the government and central bank had been
forced to ''perform a significant correction'' in their
policies. Yeltsin said he was satisfied with the cabinet's
approach.
Germany, Russia's main Western trading partner, said
it was also encouraged by Moscow's handling of the
crisis. Kohl's spokesman said Yeltsin had told him by
telephone that Russia would adhere to the plan
worked out with the IMF. Yeltsin spoke to U.S.
President Bill Clinton Thursday to seek moral support.
Kiriyenko, 35, has been in office for just over a month.
He chaired a meeting of a tax watchdog Friday, and
Interfax news agency said eight companies had been
told to cough up tax arrears by June or face possible
bankruptcy.
The government's statement said it would squeeze at
least five billion rubles from 20 major corporate tax
debtors. The 1998 budget, before the planned cuts,
was 500 billion rubles ($81.4 billion), with revenues
forecast to be about 368 billion rubles.
The statement said an austerity package would cut
spending by 15 percent overall. It said the government
expected to raise at least 15 billion rubles ($2.4 billion)
by speeding up privatization once the crisis was over.
Copyright 1998 Reuters Limited.