Well I must say that I am a bit disappointed by the SI response to my investment initiative so far..But the fundamentals are sound and things are going really well..In fact, Telettubies are starting to be recognized by the street! Here I post an article from the street.com just in case someone is reading this thing..! ==================================================
Top Stories: Teletubbies: Too Hot to Handle
By Suzanne Kapner Staff Reporter 6/1/98 3:14 PM ET
Investors looking to play what could potentially be the hottest toy craze since Cabbage Patch dolls are turning to Handleman (HDL:NYSE), which recently bought the North American licensing rights to "Teletubbies" -- the British television show that is causing a stir among preschoolers.
For the uninitiated, the four, lovable Teletubbies -- Tinky Winky, Dipsy, Laa-Laa and Po -- are babylike creatures with televisions in their tummies. Their TV show, which debuted on PBS in April, has unseated "Barney" (thank goodness) in the No. 1 spot for kids one and two years old. Although many educators are denouncing Teletubbies as chewing gum for children's brains, the controversy hasn't quelled a rush for the alienlike cherub plush dolls that are selling out of toy stores. Michael Goldstein, chairman of Toys R Us (TOY:NYSE), described the product launch, in a statement, as the most "successful since the introduction of the Cabbage Patch dolls."
Rather than get into a bidding war with larger players like Hasbro (HAS:NYSE), which won the licensing rights for Teletubbies toys, Handleman bought a 75% stake in Itsy Bitsy Entertainment, which owns the licensing rights for North America. Now companies that want to manufacture products like bedding or clothing under the Teletubbies name must get permission from Handleman, which collects a royalty fee on future sales.
Barry Sosnick, an analyst with Genesis Merchant Group in New York who initiated Handleman with a buy in May, estimates that licensing revenue from Teletubbies will add close to 5 cents a share to Handleman's 1999 earnings, which he estimates at 68 per share. (His firm hasn't performed underwriting services for the company.)
Handleman, with $1.2 billion in revenue last year mainly from sourcing music and videos for mass merchants, will report its fourth quarter on Wednesday. First Call's survey of analysts forecasts that Handleman will earn 7 cents per share for the period, which would bring 1998 earnings to 34 cents per share, a 113% increase over the prior year's per-share earnings of 16 cents.
But Sosnick, along with other analysts and money managers, says Teletubbies is just one reason to buy the Troy, Mich.-based company, which has wrenched itself out of a revenue and earnings slump.
Trouble started in the mid-90s, when the music industry, faced with overcapacity and declining margins, hit the skids. As consumer electronic chains initiated a price war, Handleman, which fills the racks at Wal-Mart (WMT:NYSE) and Kmart (KM:NYSE) with the latest CDs, was forced to cut prices to compete. Then Handleman's customers decided to buy hit videos directly from entertainment companies like Walt Disney (DIS:NYSE) rather than outsourcing through Handleman. The result: By 1996 revenues had declined 8% to $1.1 billion and the company showed an annual loss of 38 cents per share.
Sosnic says the loss of the hit video business, which consists of new releases as opposed to older titles, was a blessing in disguise. "It was a money-losing product leader, with superthin margins," he says. Handleman still distributes older movies like the original "Godzilla."
There's little risk that retailers will follow a similar route and phase out Handleman from other product categories like music, says Donald Smith, president of Donald Smith & Co. in Paramus, N.J., which owned 1.5 million shares of Handleman as of March 31, according to data tracker Technimetrics. "Music is one of the few areas that retailers outsource," he says, because the product is so diverse and the trends change with lightning speed. "Big retailers don't want to be in the position of predicting music fashion," Smith says.
As the company retrenched, it closed 16 distribution centers and has shaved more than $12 million in costs since 1996, says Tom Oviatt, Handleman's vice president and treasurer. The automation of its two existing distribution facilities allowed the company to reduce inventories by $100 million, he adds.
With music sales on a tear, up 7.4% industrywide and 14% in mass merchants alone since Jan. 1, Handleman is in a position to regain its footing. The company will use a portion of the estimated $35 million in free cash flow generated by H.E.R., its music and video division, to expand two other businesses. North Coast Entertainment, which houses proprietary licensing products like Teletubbies, and Madacy, the music label that owns the rights to artists like Sir Andrew Lloyd Webber, account for just 10% of sales, as does the international division, which operates in Canada, Argentina, Mexico and Brazil. Oviatt says he expects those businesses to make up a combined 35% of Handleman's revenue by the millennium.
Earlier this year, Handleman hired Michael Beauregard to scout for possible acquisitions like the Itsy Bitsy deal. And Oviatt says the company will continue building its presence internationally. In Mexico alone the company has 20% of the music market, he says.
Handleman also is developing a web site under the Madacy name as well as constructing web pages for clients like Ames Department Stores (AMES:Nasdaq). But Oviatt says the Internet business remains tiny compared with the company's other divisions. "Music on the Internet hasn't gotten to be that big yet and ours doesn't show any sign of getting big soon," he says.
With six consecutive quarters of improved profits behind it, Handleman is poised to keep moving. The company has repurchased 1.2 million shares out of a 2 million-share buyback authority.
Sosnick's 12-month price target is 15, a 22% premium over Friday's close of 12 1/4. Handleman is up 77% this year compared with a 12% rise in the S&P 500 index. The stock remains cheap, selling at 1.3 times book value, compared with a market average of four times book.
"The Teletubbies concept can be huge," Smith, the investor, says. "Combined with what's happening with music sales and international expansion, the package is very attractive."
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