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To: Dale Knipschield who wrote (14215)5/31/1998 10:16:00 AM
From: Robert F. Newton  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17305
 
Buyer Beware!!!!!!!!!!

exchange2000.com



To: Dale Knipschield who wrote (14215)6/2/1998 1:43:00 PM
From: Andrew Vance  Respond to of 17305
 
*AV*--I read the story and tend to agree with your assessment about a computer "explosion" this coming XMAS season. The drop in prices will affect the bottom lines of INTC and AMD more dramatically than that of IDTI, IMO. Also, it would appear that at the 233-300 MHz levels, IDTI could be a nice player in that market.

As far as the disk drive guys are concerned, I also agree with your timetable. Because Disk drives are a rapidly self obsoleting commodity, no one carries a great deal of inventory. With new and higher capacities hiting the market almost on a monthly basis, you would expect the volumes sold would coincide with building of finished system inventories to meet the XMAS demand.

I would like to point out that both DELL and Gateway should also prosper this coming XMAS season since they are two very successful "build to oder" companies. As a matter of fact, I find the "build to order" companies the most attractive since, at these prices, all buyers should opt to get EXACTLY what they want in their systems and not settle for options or older technologies they really do not want.

The Gateway GP6-400 I am drooling over has fallen close to $300 in the configuration I desire and has broken through the $3000 barrier fully configured. By XMAS I hope it either falls to just below $2500 or $2000 or that added functions and comonents are possible at the present price. Actually I would love to see the 21" monitor as my personal "upgrade" from the 19" monitor offered.

Andrew

BTW-while looking at the link you posted, I linked from that link to another spot and thought this worthy of sharing to the community.

Novellus offers copper
chip gear
By Reuters
Special to CNET NEWS.COM
June 2, 1998, 4:50 a.m. PT

Novellus, a maker of semiconductor production
equipment, will unveil today a full line of systems for
chipmakers to manufacture faster semiconductors
using next-generation copper technology.

Last September, IBM surprised the semiconductor
industry with news that it created faster, lower-cost
semiconductors, using copper instead of aluminum
as an electrical conducting material.

Since then, other chipmakers have been looking at
copper technology to design faster semiconductors.
Chip equipment makers are also leading the way
since special equipment is needed to develop these
faster semiconductors.

Novellus of San Jose, California, first announced its
plans to develop equipment for making chips with
copper technology last year. Today it will introduce
its Damascus product line.

"As the geometries [in semiconductor
manufacturing] have gotten smaller, there is a need
to change materials," said Richard Hill, the
chairman and CEO of Novellus. "The world is now
moving to copper."

One of the centerpieces in Novellus's launch today
is a new chip production system called Sabre,
which has a starting price of $3 million. This
"deposition" system deposits the actual copper
interconnect onto a chip, in one of many steps in
the intricate semiconductor manufacturing process.

Novellus said it is already taking orders for its new
systems, which will ship in volume in the third and
fourth quarters.

"The capacity with IBM is not very large, it may be
another year before it picks up and other integrated
circuit makers use it on a big scale," said Risto
Puhakka, a director at VLSI Research, a market
research firm in San Jose, California. "But that
means that it's time for equipment purchases now."

But not everyone is convinced that copper is a sure
thing, especially when it comes to manufacturing
chips in large volume. Chipmakers will also have to
install new copper equipment in what are already
costly manufacturing plants, replacing several
hundreds of millions of dollars of equipment.

Applied Materials, the world's largest maker of
semiconductor equipment, is exploring both
Novellus's copper manufacturing process and
another etching process that more closely models
current techniques.

"What we are trying to do is look at a way for fabs
to have an easy transition to copper metallurgy,"
said Christopher Moran, general manager of the
etch division at Applied.

Applied is presenting its alternative process at an
engineering conference this week. Applied has also
said it will have a total copper system by the end of
this year.