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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: eWhartHog who wrote (4057)5/31/1998 10:54:00 PM
From: MikeM54321  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9980
 
This is directly applicable to our foreign countries supplying liquidity to our markets discussion. I didn't realize US rates were so much higher than the European countries mentioned below. From Paul Erdmann's economics column comes the following clip:

>>...In the current environment, such international considerations speak against the Fed raising rates. Even at current interest rates, we are sucking funds out of countries and regions where liquidity is badly needed to New York, where "excess" liquidity is driving the markets and the economy to, perhaps, excessive heights. Why? Because, with one exception, the U.K., we have the highest interest rates in the developed world. Using equivalents to our Fed Funds rate, the picture is this:

US 5 1/2 percent
Germany 3 1/2 percent
France 3 1/2 percent
Switzerland 1 1/2 percent
Japan 1/2 percent

To raise our rates even further would further distort the global flow of capital and elevate the exchange value of the dollar to intolerable levels.<<

MikeM(From Florida)



To: eWhartHog who wrote (4057)6/2/1998 10:43:00 AM
From: Thomas Haegin  Respond to of 9980
 
Although I cannot remember personally, I think there was a period in Switzerland where one had negative interest rates... on Japan interest rates: it comes down to the simple conclusion IMO that Japanese bonds are even less appealing than Japanese stocks.

Thomas