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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (19830)6/2/1998 7:58:00 AM
From: shane forbes  Respond to of 70976
 
(TSM fab utilization at 80%, PC OEMs working off inventory, expecting Q2 pre-announcements)

More bad news for the staunch AMAT bulls:

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"Technology investors are rattled," said one equipment industry analyst
familiar with the situation. He pointed to a wave of poor earnings
announcements for the first quarter, and predicted that most of the major
semiconductor firms could preannounce poor earnings for the second quarter
ending in June as well.


In fact, this may turn out to be a very difficult period for the entire industry,
according to the analyst. Fab capacity utilization rates are down this quarter,
including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., which is running only
about 80% full.
Many of the large PC OEMs have decreased chip orders as
they work through an inventory backlog, but are waiting until Windows 98
and Intel Corp.'s expected microprocessor price cuts before they resume
full-volume production.

"The bottom line is that motherboard production ground to a halt in May," he
said. "The first quarter was disappointing, and it looks like the second
quarter, which at first looked like it would be flat to up slightly, now looks
like it will be down." And all of this makes now a poor time to issue more
shares of DPI stock. "This is not the right environment to get a deal like this
done," he noted.

----

shane (Taiwan was one of the few relatively strong spots for AMAT - they normally are at close to 100% utilization I believe)