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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: j g cordes who wrote (16282)6/3/1998 12:08:00 AM
From: Clint E.  Respond to of 68499
 
Jim, Be quick with NN. That's all I would say.....

>>Last, how will FON do that trick with three things happening on one
>>line? A digital box at your home that connects to theirs?

I'll give you a clue. There used to be company in early 96 with a promising technology that would offer voice & high-speed data over existing POTS wiring. It ran from ~$2 to ~$35 and then back to $10. It was acquired by TXN in 97. The ticker was A??X

What technology is that?

Answer at this site:

paradyne.com

Clint



To: j g cordes who wrote (16282)6/3/1998 4:53:00 AM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 68499
 
Jim,

I just finished listening to the NN conference call and reading
Pat Mudge's notes. Just to add another point of view since Pat missed
a few key points.

That Greek that Pat talked about is actually pretty critical. The question
was how did the linearity shape up for the Q and what will it be going
forward.

The answer was not what you would really like to hear. The Q was
approximately 25,25, and 50 for order in each month in the Q.
They see that for the next 6 to 9 months. Their improved target
in 9 months is 30, 30, 40. That is an improvement, but the fact remains
that they are in rear end loaded business. So this stocks should
remain volatile going forward since they won't know if the made
the Q estimates to the very end .DSO is 99. I can't find my notes
from the last CC, but they did state this was an improvement
over last Q. They roasted Cascade (now ASND)
for a increased DSO of 70. I don't think anyone will like the unusually
high DSO. They are hoping for 70 days going forward. They will need
to show that they can get this down going forward.

Pat missed a question about the channel that is very important. NN still
have no channel for its products in the enterprsie space. The alliance
with COMS helps but they are still relying on carriers to specify their
equipment to enterprise customers. They need a direct channel
or a channel of value added re-sellers if they ever want to
succeed in the space.

On the plus side they have 50% of the TDM business. That business is
declining slower than originally projected. ATM sales are up 70% which
is the same as ASND ATM sales( from memory),so they are
matching the growth rate of their competitors.

The long term story remain positive for NN. I am not so sure about
tommorrow though. Most analysts congratulated TM on a good Q,
but I am not so sure myself.

Pepe on the NN thread was referring to the fact NN does not have
a layer 3 gigabit ethernet system I believe. Some companies
are looking at using these high speed systems with IP switching.
This approach is cheaper than ATM and faster as you do not have
the overhead of ATM . It does lack the Quality of Service
of ATM though.

Anyway, just another view of the CC.

Harry