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Technology Stocks : Safeguard Scientifics SFE -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: David Lawrence who wrote (1437)6/4/1998 11:45:00 PM
From: John Arnopp  Respond to of 4467
 
David,

At almost 5M shares of CCSC, and assuming the SFE public portfolio is worth about $1B, then for every $1 movement in CCSC stock price, the SFE portfolio is changed about .5%, which is not huge, but the recent drop might account for up to 4% of Safeguard's drop, or about $1.75, so the other half of the drop has to be something else.

I would speculate that the stock simply got ahead of itself (weird timing) for whatever reason, and the premium needs to come back down. In a favorable market, I would bet up to a $1-2 premium is sustainable, but not a $6 premium.

--John



To: David Lawrence who wrote (1437)6/5/1998 11:53:00 PM
From: John Arnopp  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4467
 
David and all:

We're sitting on a $3.30 premium, by my calculations (http://www.bluering.com/SIP/sfe_nav.html), and the graph is pretty dramatic: bluering.com.

I'm going on vacation next week, so I hope I'm leaving my margin account in good hands!

Aloha,

--John