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Strategies & Market Trends : Bill Wexler's Profits of DOOM -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill Wexler who wrote (902)6/5/1998 5:08:00 AM
From: Bill Wexler  Respond to of 4634
 
QNTM is now giving me the warm fuzzies...

biz.yahoo.com

I personally think this interview is a bit optimistic (!) since it is clear that inventory problems are severe.

In this blurb, the most important statement was:

<<For its first quarter ending June, Brown said Quantum was likely to turn in flat to slight lower results against its previous quarter.>>

My guess is revenues will decrease between 5 and 10%. Slash and burn pricing will further erode margins. I say that they'll be *lucky* to walk away with a nickel a share loss.

I think this is good for a 25 to 30% haircut before the earnings report...getting us to around 15 a share - at which point I'll re-evaluate.