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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: MikeM54321 who wrote (4215)	6/5/1998 9:03:00 AM
From: Joseph Beltran	Respond to of 9980

Mike, I imagine nuclear weapons is a part of it, but it sems to me the "larger" reason is political in nature- having taken a step (big one) towards a democratic government, we don't want russia to revert back to a dictatorship, especially one with a centralized nuclear arsenal, with the prospect of another cold war. there are those that say (and I agree) that it is too late for russia to revert back. it would be in our interests to see that they proceed on the path of democratic reforms and a free market economy. but that having been said, the costs of transitioning has been and will remain staggering...the u.s. just doesn't have the resources (nor the political support) to finance that transition. I'm afraid russia is in for many, many years of difficulties. regards

To: MikeM54321 who wrote (4215)	6/5/1998 10:32:00 AM
From: Sam	Respond to of 9980

Mike, The nuclear arsenal is a not insignificant part of it. So is the fact that they have a large army that only sporadically gets paid and could make like miserable for a lot of people if it gets motivated to do so. So too is the fact that if they fall into still worse straits, it could create a refugee problem for Eastern Europe, and then for Western Europe. Russia has a lot of natural resources, which could be used productively by the rest of the world if they could be efficiently mined. They also have an educated population which could be a very good sized market if they could be effectively mobilized. It seems to me that it is in everyone's interest to help them have these things happen, without even getting into any "humanitarian" reasons. Whether that can be done or not, and how to do it from the current situation, are different questions altogether.