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To: Charles Tutt who wrote (10089)6/6/1998 7:16:00 PM
From: Ben Antanaitis  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 64865
 
Charles,

Since the Max-Pain effect is a second order effect, ie it gets swamped out by greater forces like news, momentum, world events, etc. It turns out that sometimes the max-pain point is way off from the current price on expiry day. The external forces/events have moved the stock price and the inertia of the open interest cannot react, for whatever reason (like millions of dollars of naked contracts that the MMs would have to close out to move the Max-Pain point).

For example: two months ago, the hottest thing was LU:
pipeline.com
But the last month, when the momentum died down:
pipeline.com

Last month it was the DELL runaway train:
pipeline.com
This month ??

Currently the XAU index (~$73) is out of joint with the Max-Pain point:
pipeline.com

Is this the kind of thing you asked about?

Ben A.
ez-pnf.com