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Strategies & Market Trends : Graham and Doddsville -- Value Investing In The New Era -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: porcupine --''''> who wrote (378)6/9/1998 2:40:00 AM
From: Berney  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1722
 
One More Time -- A New Model Portfolio

Over the last four years, I have enjoyed developing Market strategies
designed with the simple goal in mind to beat the Index. A task that
few of the mutual funds seem able to accomplish. Thus, I present here
one more effort to educate investors that this goal is not that
difficult a task.

The basis of this effort is essentially the same as in the past. I
utilize two of the methods I developed to accomplish the purpose of
designing a diversified portfolio that has a great potential to
provide returns in excess of the Index. The two methods I refer to as
Buy and Hold With A Twist and Dividend Yield 11-15. An explanation of
these methods can be found at the web site in the introduction to this
investment thread. Enjoy!

PRICE PE RATIO SIC PROJECTED EPS INST MARKET
SYMBOL 6/8/98 CURRENT AVERAGE CODE GROWTH RATE OWNER CAP

Buy and Hold With A Twist:

ACL $ 36.75 10.1 9.2(3) 6331 13.8% NA 6585
BSC 56.44 12.4 7.9 6211 11.7 53 6421
CTI 24.63 14.8 12.6(3) 3443 16.5 44 398
FAF 71.75 11.9 14.3 6361 14.0 47 1270
ICII 20.63 9.1 12.5 6162 20.0 78 797
JEF 45.38 14.1 9.7 6211 NA 46 943
NATR 24.00 21.4 23.7 2834 20.0 35 443
PLXS 22.00 19.2 25.7 3672 25.0 32 325
RJF 31.63 16.8 8.6 6211 NA 63 1525
SUNW 44.50 24.0 16.9 7373 18.2 52 16857
TNL 43.50 21.9 18.9 3643 NA 40 703
XL 75.44 8.9 9.0 6351 12.2 85 6387

Total $496.65

Dividend Yield 11-15:

CAT $55.94 12.4 11.6(5) 3531 10.3 73 20508
DD 79.25 39.8 27.0 2821 11.3 57 89434
GT 69.81 18.4 24.1 3011 9.2 77 10977
MRK 121.50 31.4 22.4 2834 14.3 55 146224
UK 49.88 11.0 13.8 2821 7.9 70 6793

Total $376.38

Sum $873.03

Berney's June Portfolio Index 873.03

S&P 500 Index - 6/8/98 1115.72

Thus, I again crawl out on the limb, saw in hand.

Obviously, the difficulty in this strategy is that it takes $87,303
simply to buy 100 shares of each stock. However, the strategy has
worked in the past, and I have my continued confidence that it will
work in the future. However, as always, BWDIK, and all other
disclaimers.

In general, this represents a response to my previous post. I admit
frustration to the numerous general comments on SI how the Market is
over-valued and equity investors are will undoubtedly be plucked. An
intelligent investor could not possibly endorse an asset allocation
model that involves no exposure to the equity Markets.

Berney