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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Johnny Canuck who wrote (16456)6/8/1998 4:05:00 PM
From: Lachesis Atropos  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 68506
 
Harry, re-post of 16448

I do believe that MSFT has a similar distribution.
(Notice the two bumps on the ends of the histogram)
On such distributions the SD is not a valid measure.
I have not looked at an Index distribution.
If the stocks that make up the distribution are
non-normal then it follows that the index would
be non-normal, even though it may appear normal.

The chaos man, "Fractal Market Analysis : Applying
Chaos Theory to Investment and Economics (Wiley
Finance Edition); Edgar E. Peters" has a good
discussion on stock price distributions(in my
opinion the book has limited value to a trader--
too much theory and few practical applications).

>Do you anticipate some more write downs and layoff
>in the current Q then or has the bulk of that
>already happened?

MCI had a major employee layoff in January, then smaller
ones through to April. At a recent meeting, it was
mentioned that MCI would beat Wall Street expectations
and that they were already there. So I do not believe
that MCI will be laying-off many more employees or at
least not until WCOM gets a hold of them. The irony
is that WCOM cannot hire enough employees and MCI is
letting them go (I do talk with WCOM friends in Tulsa).

Lachesis