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To: scaram(o)uche who wrote (8040)6/8/1998 5:36:00 PM
From: HeyRainier  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9262
 
[ AXYS ]

Rick, thanks for the outstanding response. I'm sure you'll be hearing more from me when the chart firms up. Thanks also for any additional input you can squeeze out of the other bio-techies you mentioned.

Regards,

Rainier



To: scaram(o)uche who wrote (8040)6/8/1998 9:38:00 PM
From: John Dwyer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9262
 
[AXPH]

Rick mentioned interest here in AXPH... he posted a pretty good
sketch of the situation. I might add that there has been some
uncertainty regarding their lead compound, APC-366, for asthma. The
drug is not that great, apparently, although they have a "Delta-
designed" second generation compound that looks much better. The
uncertaintly arose because it was not clear why APC-366 was being
continued into development. I (and others) felt they should kill
it and look forward to the second gen. compound.

With regards to Delta, I will spare you all the technological
details of this drug design technology (applause). For many years,
this was a black box that they hyped in all of their press releases.
Investors had no details as to what it was, I heard everything from
a component of blood plasma to a complex artificial intelligence.
I don't like investing in black boxes so I never invested in them.
Once the patent issued, I got interested again because at least I
could evaluate the technology. Then they merged with SQNA, a move
that to this day I still don't understand. AXPH is analogous to
when you go to a coin shop and buy a grab bag of coins... you look
though it and keep the ones you like and sell off or get rid of
the rest. AXPH is in the process of sorting through what they have.

From a valuation standpoint, they are pretty cheap. but they are a
grab bag of technology. The key is how well they can integrate it
into a platform. The pieces are there... I just can't quite put
the puzzle together yet. I would say that an investment now is a
reasonable bet over the next six months or so... they should be
defining their platform and this could involve inking new deals and
some of these are thought to be biggies. If so, AXPH should be
trading back in the low teens... a nice gain from here.

In sum, the technology is good. Delta is very impressive but is
somewhat unproven. They now have functional genomics capability
which will help them on their gene-to-drug quest. I would imagine
that they will get back on track soon... unless they try to buy
out MLNM... ;^)

Hope this helps...

John