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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9 who wrote (20033)6/9/1998 9:51:00 PM
From: Monty Lenard  Respond to of 94695
 
"btw, i have 4.11 on the 5 day trin on the NYSE"

Lisa, I came up with the same as you. FWIW



To: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9 who wrote (20033)6/9/1998 10:04:00 PM
From: Oeconomicus  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Guten Abend, Lisa.

Got my trin figures for last week from Barron's and this week's from Yahoo. Small differences. I have 1.31, .72, .46, .82 and .74. Either way, 4.05 or 4.11, it still needs to be a reasonably bearish number for tomorrow not to hit a cumulative 4.0.

Seems to me, though, that what Greenspan says may decide things for us. I'll go ahead and speculate that if he hints Asia is going to have a significant negative effect in the second half and next year, people will go back to worrying about earnings and we'll drift until either some notable warnings send us lower or the warnings season passes with no more surprises, in which case we go higher 'til the actual reports start next month.

OTOH, labor markets are still tight and the markets sure haven't moderated their exuberance, so he could still sound hawkish. Problem with that is that this crazy market just might go up if it looks like a rate hike is coming (you know - "the bad news has been discounted").

Until then, I'll just have to take comfort in the lack of volume and the negative breadth. The Transports, BTW, still look to me to be in a downtrend. Renewed concern about economic slowing will send them back to their lows pretty easily, IMO.

BWDIK?
Bob

PS: Monty, gotta hit the return key when using fixed fonts.



To: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9 who wrote (20033)6/10/1998 8:37:00 PM
From: Oeconomicus  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Lisa, I've got 3.72 now. Whadaya think?

Greenspeak didn't tell us much. Pretty neutral on either side - "r" word vs. rate hike. Retail sales and jobless claims tomorrow, and PPI and inventories Friday. Oh, and don't forget warnings season.

Regards,
Bob