To: lin luo who wrote (1020 ) 6/10/1998 4:05:00 AM From: H James Morris Respond to of 2578
From Dell Co news< FRAMINGHAM, Mass., June 9 (Reuters) - Hampered by inventory problems and weakness in Asia, growth in the global personal computer market is expected to slow in the second quarter, a leading technology research firm said on Tuesday. Global PC unit volume is expected to grow by only 9 percent in the second quarter, according to International Data Corp, which is based in Framingham, Mass. IDC said worldwide PC shipments grew by 11 percent in the first quarter, and by 15 percent in all of 1997. The "lukewarm" outlook is related to a continued downturn in Asia, a soft portable PC market and ongoing supply issues in the United States. "Inventory problems have slowed channel ordering and also induced a more conservative stance on PC manufacturing," IDC's Bruce Stephen said in a statement. Second-quarter unit shipments in the United States are seen rising by 14 percent. But severe price pressure will limit revenue and profit growth for most PC vendors. "While the inventory situation may improve, slower market growth, expansion of the low-cost PC market and heightened competition among CPU suppliers will all catalyze an ongoing price war," Stephen said. In Western Europe, the PC market is expected to grow by 14 percent in the quarter, driven by the low-cost PCs, improving economies in France and Germany and a greater focus from global PC brands. The outlook for Asia -- excluding Japan -- continues to be weak as demand in Southeast Asia and Korea shows no sign of recovery, IDC said. Economic sanctions recently placed on India will also hurt the market. IDC said it expects second-quarter unit shipments in the region to show slight negative growth. Its 1998 market outlook has been lowered slightly to 5 percent. The Japanese PC market is seen growing 2 percent in 1998, with negative growth in the second quarter. Compaq Computer Corp. <CPQ.N>, International Business Machines Corp. <IBM.N> and Dell Computer Corp. <DELL.O>, respectively, remained the top three global PC vendors, based on unit shipments, IDC said.
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