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Strategies & Market Trends : The Rational Analyst -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sandbag who wrote (1135)6/10/1998 8:06:00 PM
From: HeyRainier  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1720
 
[ AVID ]

Hi Sandbag,

You guys are starting to read my mind. I in fact was just speaking to Dave Horne about this off the thread. Here's a look at my recent correspondence:

____________________________________________________________
Private Message
To: dave horne
From: Rainier Trinidad Monday, Jun 8 1998 6:42PM ET

[ AVID ]

Dave,

Since you're Mr. Shortseller on the RA thread, what do you think of AVID? It popped up in one of my Potential Shorts Scan based on weakening momentum, trend deterioration, etc.

Bearish Flag.

Insider Selling:

144...613,303...16,817...V,D.......36.47 3/98
S.....267,976...6,817....V.........39.31 4/98
144...2,126,994 65,565...O,O,O.....32.44 2/98
S.....1,500,657 50,085...V,V,V,V...29.96 3/98
144...4,994,120 145,771..D,D,N,A...34.26 8/97
S.....2,181,655 64,719...O,D,O.....33.71 9/97

Inventory turnover is declining.

Revs flattening:

REVENUE...1995.....1996.....1997.....1998
------------------------------------------
Q1 MAR...83,895...92,039..108,209...108,742
Q2 JUN...98,447..109,095..122,884
Q3 SEP..114,377..114,664..116,510
Q4 DEC..109,931..113,211..123,735

Balance sheets are outstanding though.

But I'm chicken. <gg>
___________________________________________________________

It looks like it's developing nicely from a shorter's point of view. I'm in the middle of my download, so I'll take a look at it after today's data comes in.

Regards,

Rainier



To: sandbag who wrote (1135)6/18/1998 3:03:00 PM
From: HeyRainier  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1720
 
[ AVID ]

Hi Sandbag,

Did you short AVID?

Rainier

PS. Hey Dave! Add this to the "list!" <gg>



To: sandbag who wrote (1135)6/18/1998 3:16:00 PM
From: HeyRainier  Respond to of 1720
 
Interesting alert on Volume Acceleration as of 6/10/98:

CBSA 06/18 12:24 ALERT: 243.1% intraday volume acceleration detected for Avid Technology Inc (NASD:AVID) -- 12:24ET, CBS_MW News

CBSM 06/18 09:10 AVID TECH CUT TO NEUTRAL FROM BUY - PIPER JAFFRAY.

BW 06/16 17:22 Avid Technology Will Appoint Daniel Langlois, founder of SOFTIMAGE to its Board of Directors

CBSM 06/16 17:09 AVID TECH SAYS SOFTIMAGE FOUNDER LANGLOIS TO JOIN AVID'S BOARD IN MERGE.

BW 06/15 18:23 Avid Technology, Inc. to Acquire SOFTIMAGE Subsidiary of Microsoft Corporation

CBSM 06/10 15:25 ALERT: 124.9% intraday volume acceleration detected for Avid Technology Inc (NASD:AVID) -- 15:25ET, CBS_MW News