To thread . . . Mavis is at it again, only this time, "just reporting the facts, maam." To Ian - dittos ;-)
Top Stories: Niche Oil Service Merger Provides No Boost to Sector
By Mavis Scanlon Staff Reporter 6/10/98 6:23 PM ET
This time it wasn't one of the usual suspects.
In a surprise announcement, Stolt Comex Seaway (SCSWF:Nasdaq) said it signed a letter of intent to acquire Ceanic Corporation (DIVE:Nasdaq) for $222 million in cash, or $20 per share.
The $20 per share price reflects a premium of 29% over Ceanic's closing price from June 8. Ceanic jumped 3 1/16, or 19.9%, to 18 1/2 on the news by midday Wednesday. Stolt's stock traded at 29 1/2, down 3/8, or 1.3%.
Unlike other recent deals in the sector, however, the proposed acquisition of small-cap Ceanic, which in February changed its name from American Oilfield Divers, has failed to spark buying in the depressed oil service sector -- in fact, the Oil Service Index is bleeding, down 3.24 to 94.52 near the close, a level last seen in late January. Not even the usual takeover or merger candidates could muster much action in the wake of the merger news. Camco (CAM:NYSE) fell 3/4 to 62, and Smith International (SII:NYSE) dropped 1 1/2, or 3.5%, to 42.
To be sure, the combination, which will give Stolt, based in Mareseille, France, a market capitalization of about $1.8 billion, is on a much smaller scale -- and in more of a niche segment of the oilfield service industry -- than any one of the recent marriage announcements in the sector. The Baker Hughes (BHI:NYSE) and Western Atlas (WAI:NYSE) deal, announced in early May, will create a $6.5 billion technologically advanced oil service company. EVI Weatherford (EVI:NYSE), is now the fourth-largest oilfield service company; the merger was completed in late May. And the megadeal that jumpstarted 1998 merger mania in the patch, Halliburton's (HAL:NYSE) purchase of Dresser Industries (DI:NYSE), is on schedule for completion in the fourth quarter.
But the woes of the crude oil market, which have rippled out to oil company spending and oil rig rental company dayrates, are the main reason investors are staying away from the oil patch these days, even as consolidation continues apace.
On Tuesday, crude oil prices fell below $14 per barrel for the first time since May 19 on a rash of bearish news reports: Both the International Energy Agency and the U.S. Department of Energy lowered their predictions for demand growth in the second half of this year; OPEC's May production figures reflected a change in the wrong direction -- they increased rather than decreased, according to a Dow Jones Newswires survey; and inventories for gasoline grew, showing less demand as the crucial driving season sets in. At 3:06 p.m. EDT Wednesday, crude futures for July delivery were down 30 cents to $13.55 per barrel.
Traders say with the $14 floor of support for crude gone, the market may be on its way to test the low of $12.80 per barrel we saw before OPEC's March Riyadh Pact to cut production.
"The way the commodity price is right now, everyone is just scared to touch these stocks," says Robert Muse, an analyst at Simmons & Co. who follows Stolt Comex. (Simmons, a Houston investment bank which does not rate stocks, has performed underwriting for Stolt Comex.)
The drop in oil prices and the stocks which track the commodity underscores the dichotomy enveloping the oil service industry and its investors, says Jim Wicklund, who follows follows Ceanic at Dain Rauscher Wessels in Dallas and rates it a strong buy. (Dain Rauscher has performed underwriting for Ceanic.)
Oil service companies have years of strong business opportunity ahead of them, especially in deepwater development, says Wicklund. But right now, investors are paying attention only to the commodity price, he says, keeping share prices and valuations low. The low valuations benefit companies in an acquisition mode, he says.
Stolt and Ceanic fit together strategically, says Muse at Simmons, and since Stolt had been signaling its intention to solidify its presence in the Gulf of Mexico, the offer was not so much of a surprise to him.
What surprised Wicklund at Dain Rauscher was that the offer was in cash rather than stock, and that it came so soon after Ceanic named a new CEO. Kevin Peterson, who came to Ceanic a year ago as COO from competitor Coflexip Stena Offshore, was named CEO and president in early May.
Some thought the price was a little low, Wicklund added. Ceanic is among the companies whose earnings estimates have not come down over the last six months of low commodity prices, Wicklund says. Its business -- mainly underwater construction of oil industry infrastructure and diving services -- has remained strong. First Call consensus estimates for Ceanic, which stood at $1.03 in January, dipped a few cents in March but now stand at $1.02 for the year.
In addition to subsea construction services, the company, which recently sold off its headquarters in Lafeyette, La., and moved to Houston, provides maintenance, installation, repair and support services for drilling operations. Customers include not only oil and gas companies, but other offshore construction and engineering companies.
Ceanic says it is the largest provider of diving services in the Gulf of Mexico, with about 550 divers and 21 diving support vessels. (Sixteen of its diving vessels operate in the Gulf.) It has also expanded its fleet of "remotely operated vehicles," or ROVs, which service the deepwater market, and expects to have 12 of the vehicles in use by the end of 1998.
In a show of confidence in Ceanic's deepwater technological prowess, Shell awarded it a contract in February to design, build, test and operate a deepwater pipeline system. |