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To: Larry S. who wrote (14744)6/11/1998 4:05:00 PM
From: Beachside Bill  Respond to of 53068
 
There may be some buying opportunities tomorrow. Disappointed support wasn't broken for a huge sell off. I was thinking about picking some at the end of the day, but will wait and see if we bounce.

Also It looks like there is some "buy at the end of the day" action. Who knows, may gap up.

Take Care



To: Larry S. who wrote (14744)6/12/1998 6:26:00 AM
From: Ron McKinnon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 53068
 
Larry

>>> Bill, yes it is getting scary

I'm not sure that we are at the "scary" point yet

Old guys like us have seen SCARY, this aint it (yet)

No extreme panic
No capitulation blow off
No bodies trying to take flight out of 48 story, $5mm NY condos

We may or not get there, I have no idea

Last night I ran the DOW charts
They are not the market but the masses perceive that index as the market
Looking at each one, many (exceptions being defensive issues--like MCD WMT) are right on the edge of a chart cliff, just holding some level of support, are at an important moving average price
So, the next leg "might" be a real drop if they do not hold or turn

As most of you know I take a short term view of most of my trades; so tend to look at short term charts
If others do that also I might suggest that you elongate your time horizon

A good example is the oil service sector
Many have thought that they are at low price levels
That they are oversold
They are too cheap
Well, try this; run charts on a 2 or 5 year time frame
That may speak volumes about when/if to buy

I am not a bear
Not yelling fire
Not saying a "crash" is close

Just thinking that this is a time to be reflective

The flip side is the possibility that the market or single issues may well turn up with a vengence
If/when that happens cash buying power will be helpful to jump on things
This is not a time to be fully invested let alone on or deep into margin

Am not calling today's action, have not seen the pre open futures yet; but, it is a summer Friday
My plan is to be light over the weekend; want to enjoy and not fret out holdings waiting for 9:30 Monday
I'm only holding a few issues right now INTC JPM RN-dumb move going in yesterday, and TLXN which are tying up any amount of cash
Most of those may go this morning, before the afternoon low volume whatever happens

We are going to see the Indians this weekend, right not the BJ table offers more certain odds than some equities