Khaddafi shot? read here:Global Intelligence Update
Red Alert June 12, 1998
Libya's Moammar Khaddafi Allegedly Shot by Rebels
A scheduled visit to Egypt by Libyan leader Moammar Khaddafi was suddenly and unexpectedly postponed by the Libyan side on June 2, the day Khaddafi was supposed to arrive in the Egyptian border town of Marsa Matruh. After a string of different explanations and additional postponements by the Libyans during the first week in June, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak announced that Khaddafi's visit would be postponed for 10 to 15 days, since the Libyan leader was suffering from tonsilitis. However a strange story surfaced on Thursday, June 11, claiming that Khaddafi was suffering, not from tonsilitis, but from a gunshot wound, the result of an attack by Muslim insurgents.
The facts surrounding the alleged attack vary by reporter, but all make the same basic claim citing the same source. According to Libyan travelers arriving in the Egyptian border town of Salum, Khaddafi was attacked during his journey to Egypt on either June 1 or 2, when he stopped his car near the town of Dirnah on a coastal road in eastern Libya. The Libyan travelers, some of whom claim to have witnessed the attack, said Muslim militants opened fire on Khaddafi and his guards from the surrounding mountains. Casualty claims vary, with most reports stating that Khaddafi was shot in the elbow; his top bodyguard Aisha was killed when she shielded the Libyan leader; and seven other bodyguards were seriously wounded. Italian television on June 11 reported that 16 of Khaddafi's bodyguards were killed in the attack, in addition to the seven who were injured.
Dirnah, in eastern Libya's mountainous al-Jabal al-Akhdar region, is home to numerous hideouts of Libya's Muslim insurgency, and has seen frequent clashes between the rebels and government security forces. According to the Libyan travelers, police have set up checkpoints along the road from Benghazi to the Egyptian border and have arrested up to 100 men in the towns of Dirnah, Ras al-Helal, and al-Qubbah. We note that somehow the alleged witnesses managed to avoid these checkpoints.
The alleged incident could not be independently confirmed, and diplomats in Libya reportedly said they had heard nothing of the attack, although one European diplomat did confirm that Khaddafi was in eastern Libya last week. Libyan opposition members in Egypt denied the report, however the London- based human rights group Liberty for the Muslim World reported that Khaddafi had been attacked "in the past few days."
Libyan travelers are a frequent source of unconfirmed reports of unrest, coup plots, and assassination attempts in Libya, and this report could be fiction. Also, Libyan opposition forces charge that Khaddafi has made extensive use of disinformation in an attempt to manipulate the situation in eastern Libya. Nevertheless, the timing, details, and location of the alleged attack sound plausible, and suspicion is raised by the sudden cancellation of Khaddafi's trip and the confused and contradictory explanations offered for the delay. Khaddafi also chose not to attend a meeting of the Organization of African Unity in Burkina Faso this week, claiming not to want to "embarrass" the country by violating the U.N. ban on air travel in flying to the meeting.
We would not be surprised if this report was true, except for the fact that only a lunatic would stop his car at the foot of mountains which are riddled with caves occupied by rebels fighting to topple his regime. Whether true or merely disinformation sown by Tripoli, we can expect Khaddafi to use the alleged incident as justification for sweeping attacks against the insurgents. To receive free daily Global Intelligence Updates or Computer Security Alerts, sign up on the web at stratfor.com, or send your name, organization, position, mailing address, phone number, and e-mail address to alert@stratfor.com ___________________________________________________
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