To: Barry Brugman who wrote (666 ) 6/11/1998 10:59:00 PM From: Sword Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3383
Barry: In addition, to my stint as 1.3/1.6 Litre Engine Development Engineer for Ford, I have been involved with one of the big three in the development of an engine vibration supression system while at NASA. The big three exhibit a number of characteristics of which you should be aware. 1. Royalty aversion. Their component costs need to be very small for their margins to stay in the black. This drives them to engineer improvements to get around patents. Unless the patent is considered "fundamental technology" they are unlikely to license it but instead implement an improvement that gets around the secondary patent claims. As far as I can see, AENG owns no fundamental patent on this engine. The most they can probably lay claim to is some innovation on the output shaft (to which they allude). The prior art posted earlier is likely sufficient to get around most royalty payments for any of the essential features of the engine. I'd be surprised if they could garner more than about $5 per engine in royalties. 2. Risk aversion. Development of a new engine for the commercial market would entail over $500 Million in capital investment. Costs would include engineering preliminary design (sorry, it hasn't been done yet with this prototype), dynamic analysis, stress analysis, failure analysis, detail design, fabrication and test of a large number of prototypes, manufacturing tooling, vendor contracts, and a huge dollar investment in a fab and assembly line. This engine is at least 5 years from the stage at which the first engines would be installed in a vehicle sold commercially. This also applies to smaller engine firms who produce engines, like Briggs and Stratton. This company is a long, long way from having any significant revenues from royalties collected from large scale production. -Sword