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To: DavidCG who wrote (431)6/11/1998 11:27:00 PM
From: Lee Walsh  Respond to of 11684
 
GOOD POST ON HOW MARKET MAKERS WORK

I'm not the author of this post, but I found it on another thread...It applies here just as well.

Lee

To understand the recent price action on ****, you must understand how Market Makers work.

Here on SI, we blame market makers for everything we don't like that happens in a stock. This is foolish. If there were no Market Makers, there would be no market.The next time you get suckered into something and have to dump when it heads south, make sure you inwardly thank the market maker who took it off your hands, because it's probably worth even less than you got for it.

The way MM's provide the liquidity that is ESSENTIAL for the market to work is by naked shorting. When your bid is filled, the MM does not necessarily have the stock.

However, when a major retail brokerage calls an MM asking for something, they must provide a fill. Otherwise, the retail brokerage will stop calling and the MM's business will dry up.

In a way this is good for you. In a stock like ****, where the free trading float is already oversubscribed, you'd probably have to pay over $xxx to get in already if the MM's were not providing additional liquidity by essentially minting shares.

This is not the same as dilution, which is permanent. Since most BB stocks are basically worthless (but not this one!!!), MM's figure they can always cover their short and cancel the extra float when the momo dies down.

However, when there is a sustained upward movement in a stock, the MM's get nervous. If it goes on, it means the MM's will have to cover their position in the regular way, and at a loss. And the loss could be substantial. How many bid/asked spreads does an MM have to scalp to cover one $.50 misjudgment?

Some of the MM's in **** are nervous right now. An MM short position against the stock has been building all week. Over the last couple of days, major real world interest has been coming into ****. MM's have cavalierly filled the orders, thinking they'd always get a chance to cover around a dollar or below.

That chance hasn't come, and it won't. So now, to trim their losses, MM's are playing games trying to jack up prices when buying interest is strong, and then lowering them when demand dies down. First the bid falls, and stockholders get nervous. Eventually, the MM's feel strong enough to take down the asked as well, because nobody is buying the stock. Then they lower the bid some more. If they can get you rattled, they can pick up some low-priced shares to sell when the demand is stronger. Not a bad business--buy at $1.26 at the close, sell at $1.40 at the open the next day.

MM's are like you -- they want to maximize their profits. Like you, they want to make more than what they can scalp off the bid/asked spread. Here in PennyLand, the big pops that the players all think they want give them ample opportunity to sell at the top and buy at the bottom.

That's why we have emphasized a buy and hold strategy from the start. This company is not Instant Nothing, so you don't have to play into the hands of the MM's by trying to get your profits in an instant.

Real world news and buying will break the squeeze on ****. It's not up to you--investors are coming in from elsewhere. All you have to do is hold. Or, as my friend has reminded us so many times, add to your position on dips. When you see the ask lying there at a level that makes you uncomfortable, if you have some cash, pick up
another _____ shares -- and hold them, too, for a good long while.

Everybody wants to know how they did it on ****. Well, this is how they did it. All you need is a real company with real products, real prospects, real news and real investors, and success is sure."



To: DavidCG who wrote (431)6/11/1998 11:31:00 PM
From: E'Lane  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11684
 
Thanks DavidCG...that was just too interesting!

Do the words "Reap what you sow" come to anyone else's mind?

E'Lane...hoping I can sleep with this big ole smile on my face <gg>