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Strategies & Market Trends : P&F Research -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ms. X who wrote (119)6/14/1998 5:46:00 PM
From: Mr. BSL  Respond to of 389
 
<Now get to work!!!!!>
Hi Jan

I've got 27 candidates which I hope to narrow down to the five
which will bring home the grapes.

The following stocks are S&P 500 stocks rated 1 or 2 for Timeliness
by Value Line, RS +/+, above their Bullish Support Line and are on
a PNF buy:

AAPL CSCO HD SNV
AMR DH LOW TJX
BKB EFX NT TRV
CCR FNM OMC WAG
CI FRE PGR WLA
COST GPS SAI WMT
CSC HBOC SGP

I'll post the final five after the weekly sector activity
comes out.

Keep up the good work. This should be a lot of fun.

Duke



To: Ms. X who wrote (119)6/18/1998 6:17:00 AM
From: Mr. BSL  Respond to of 389
 
My Stock Picks- $20K each

With all of the major sectors in a column of O's,
I am trotting out my all computer / computer software team.
Both of these sectors are in the 30's.

1) Computer Sciences Corp - CSC
NYSE %B: Bear Confirmed 48
Broad Group: Computers- Bull Correction 32
Narrow Group: Computer Services - Bear Confirmed 30
Inst. Sponsor: S&P 500 Company
FA: Value Line 1
RS: +/+
Bull Support Line: Above
Chart: Spread top break


2) HBO & Co - HBOC
NYSE %B: Bear Confirmed 48
Broad Group: Computers- Bull Correction 32
Narrow Group: Computer Services - Bear Confirmed 30
Inst. Sponsor: S&P 500 Company
FA: Value Line 1
RS: +/+
Bull Support Line: Above
Chart: Double top break


3) Apple Computer - AAPL
NYSE %B: Bear Confirmed 48
Broad Group: Computers- Bull Correction 32
Narrow Group: Computer Mini/Micr- Bear Alert 44
Inst. Sponsor: S&P 500 Company
FA: Value Line 2
RS: +/+
Bull Support Line: Above
Chart: Double top break

4) Cisco Systems - CSCO
NYSE %B: Bear Confirmed 48
Broad Group: Computers- Bull Correction 32
Narrow Group: Computer Loc NW - Bear Confirmed 32
Inst. Sponsor: S&P 500 Company
FA: Value Line 1
RS: +/+
Bull Support Line: Above
Chart: About to make a new high coming off of a quasi Bearish Signal reversed

5) Microsoft - MSFT
NYSE %B: Bear Confirmed 48
Broad Group: Software - Bull Correction 38
Narrow Group: Software Desktop- Unknown
Inst. Sponsor: S&P 500 Company
FA: Value Line 2
RS: +/+
Bull Support Line: Above
Chart: Bullish triangle

duke60



To: Ms. X who wrote (119)6/18/1998 10:28:00 AM
From: Bwe  Respond to of 389
 
My Stock Picks: $20,000 Dorsey's (in the master's honor) for
each of my 5 stock picks:

Tyco International (TYC): Zacks Rank: 1 (Strong Buy) TYC has been in a strong uptrend since the December '91 low of $7. The stock is on a Buy (B57 5/98) and gave a confirming spread Quad Top confirming buy at $58 yesterday. RS B+ (buy/trend up) and it's been all X's on the RS chart since '93. Very strong RS. Price Objective (p.o.) is $67. Bullish Resistance Line (brl) from 8/90 is upper trend of trading range at $66. Bullish Support Line (BSL) at $37. 10 wk MA: $54.14 30 wk MA: $48.76

Cliffs Drilling (CDG): Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) CDG is a big loser on the year down 27% YTD. Currently in a "long tail down" formation with 21 straight boxes of O's and awaiting first 3 box reversal. Bearish Support Line (bsl) at $32 offers minor support. CDG has bottomed out 3 times in the last year in this price range. Oil Service Group oversold at 24%. Chartcraft still has the stock as RS B- (Buy/trend down). P&F chart couldn't look worse breaking every support on the way down as it tracked plunge in crude. One of the reasons I like the stock.

Pfizer (PFE): Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) PFE's products and fundamental story are well known. A move to $116 would put the stock in a very positive "Bearish Signal Reversed" pattern and would give a double top buy. Bullish RS (B+) and all X's since '94. 10 wk MA: $108.61. bsl at $100. Move to $114 also breaks Bearish Resistance Line (BRL) from April $118 high. Field position of Drug group at Bear Confirmed 38% lessens downside risk as I see it. Better than Bear Confirmed at 50%.

K Mart (KM): Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) Turnaround in place at KM. Stock is on RS Buy Alert (one box away from giving RS Buy) in a column of X's. Double Top buy at $14 1/2 3/98 and confirming buy at $19 1/2 in late May. P.O. $36 so plenty of upside room to move. brl near upside p.o. at $35. BSL at $11 1/2. bsl at $15 offers minor support. 10 wk MA: $18.61 30 wk MA: $14.84. Retailing group in Bear Alert status but KM not expensive and what sector isn't weak? KM has done great this year and the trend is your friend.

Golden West Financial (GDW): Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) Interest rate and eps upward revision play. RS B+ from 9/97. 10 wk MA: $104.98 30 wk MA: $95.94. On Double Top buy from late May at $114, but original buy signal from 2/98 at $89. BRL from 3/97 now at $130 and that provides the upper end of the trading range. BSL at $93. bsl at $98. Has pulled back to an attractive buying range. Zacks Z-100 portfolio stock added in April. Sector risk is troubling with Banks Bear Confirmed at 62%. Domestic operations avoids Asian contagion.

There you have it. Best of luck to all and many thanks to Jan and Preston for their time and effort in running this fun learning experience.

Bruce



To: Ms. X who wrote (119)6/19/1998 1:05:00 PM
From: feewaybill  Respond to of 389
 
Hi Jan and Preston-My Stock Picks:

ESE-Industry Group: Electronics(Risk;Bear Confirmed 26), RS is sell in X's, Trend Chart broke a double top on 6-8-98. Its above the BSL and has just pulled back.

AUD- Industry Group: Computers (Risk:Bull Correction 32), RS is Buy in X's. Trend Chart Bullish Catapult on 6-17-98. Above the BSL.

QHGI-Industry Group: Healthcare (Risk: Bear ConFirmed 34), RS is sell in X's. Has been making higher top's and bottoms. Has pullback toward BSL.

CSC-Industry Group: Computers (Risk: Bull Correction 32), RS is Buy in X's. Trend Chart Bullish Catapult on 6-6-98. Above the BSL.

Bool- Industry Group: Softwear (Risk: Bull Correction 38), RS is Buy in X's. Trend Chart Broke a triple top on 5-26-98. Above the BSL.

Thanks Jan, Preston, Bruce, Duke60, Tom, others for all your efforts. PS.....I have been on DEFENSE for about 2 months. I will be working on the OFFENSIVE TEAM...................Bruce



To: Ms. X who wrote (119)6/19/1998 6:14:00 PM
From: Dipsey  Respond to of 389
 
My Stock Picks...

1. CHP - C & D Technologies
RS Buy in Col X's
Trend Bullish Catapult

2. VISX - Visx Corp.
RS Buy in Col X's
Trend Triple Top

3. ABTX - Agribiotech Inc.
RS Buy in Col x's
Trend Double Top

4. CSC - Computer Sciences Corp.
RS Buy in Col X's
Trend Bullish Catapult

5. BGEN - Biogen Inc
RS Buy in Col X's
Trend Triple Top

Regards, Dipsey



To: Ms. X who wrote (119)6/19/1998 8:23:00 PM
From: David N. Jones  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 389
 
My Stock Picks $20k each

1. Keane Inc - KEA
Broad Group: Software - Bull Correction 38
FA: Zacks - Strong Buy
RS: Buy/X
Trend: Double Top
Comment: Trading above bullish support line. Currentley pulled
back to a column of O's. Short term trend is a series of
higher bottoms and tops.

2. Cal Drive Intl - CDIS
Broad Group: Oil Service - Bear Confirmed 24
FA: Zacks - Strong Buy
RS: Buy/X
Trend: Double Top
Comment: Trading above bullish support line. Currentley pulled
back to BS line a column of O's

3. Radica Games Ltd - RADAF
Broad Group: Leisure - Bear Confirmed 34
FA: Zacks - Not rated
RS: Buy/X
Trend: Double Bottom
Comment: Trading above long term BS line. Pulled back to
internal recent BS line.

4. Dell Computer Corporation - DELL
Broad Group: Computers - Bull Correction 32
FA: Zacks - Strong Buy
RS: Buy/X
Trend: Double Top
Comment: Trading above bullish support line.

5. Vitesse Semiconductor Corp - VTSS
Broad Group: Semiconducters - Bear Confirmed 16
FA: Zacks - Strong Buy
RS: Buy/X
Trend: Double Top
Comment: Trading above bullish support line. A reversal to $23
would break BS line and give a double bottom sell signal.



To: Ms. X who wrote (119)6/19/1998 9:44:00 PM
From: Dennis J.  Respond to of 389
 
My Stock Picks

1)AMD - Advanced Micro Devices
AMD broke BRL in Mar, stalled and broke DB on May 15. After long 17-point long-tail down, has reversed to x's. RS sell in o's. Semi's Bear Confirmed 16-, broke 2 DB's during 19-point long-tail down, and reversed to x's.
TA: Gave confirmed AIQ buy 6/18, while breaking up through 4,9,18-day MA's, volume below average, Phase and MACD favorable.

2)ASND - Ascend Communications
Broke BRL in Feb, reversed to DB break in Mar, and reconfirmed uptrend with breakout from broadening top, followed by breaks above two successive DT's. RS is sell in x's. Computers Group in Bull Correction 32-.
TA: Trending above 4,9,18-day MA's.

3)GGUY - The Good Guys
Broke TT on 6/5 to new high since 1994, after breakout from BRL in Mar and DT in May. RS is sell in x's. Retailing Group is Bear Alert 58-.

4)THNK - Think New Ideas
Bullish Triangle on 6/9. RS is buy in o's.
TA: Rose thru 4,9,18-day MA's on 6/18. On confirmed AIQ buy 5/29.

5)VRTL - Vertel
DB on 6/12 to spread triple-bottom dating back to 5/97. RS is sell in o's. Computers Group is Bull Correction 32-.
TA: Nothing good here. Blush, <g>. Oversold (or underloved).
FA: A turnaround, new mgmt., new TMN software, new alliances, hoping for a good announcement or two before 7/24. At this price, it's almost like cash.

Thanks to Tom Dorsey, Jan and Preston for the opportunity to play and learn!

Dennis




To: Ms. X who wrote (119)6/19/1998 10:48:00 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 389
 
Although my database has only 33 bullish P&F breakouts opposed by 74
P&F breakdowns, here goes. I only have four selections. All were
flagged as point-and-figure bullish breakouts. I've also tagged (*)
the two below that also have breakouts from ascending triangles. Of
these two, Cintas also is nearing breakout of all-time high and
another ascending triangle dating back to 96.

CTAS Cintas* Linen Supply 49
WCOM Worldcom Telecom Services 47 1/16
XYLN Xylan* Telecom Equipment 28 3/16
SGE Stage Stores Apparel Retail 52 1/2

In terms of accumulation/distribution, money flow, and on-balance
volume, I would rank SGE first, WCOM and XYLN next, and CTAS last.
Each of the first three have volume indicators leading the price
higher.

Cintas would be the defensive stock of the group as one of the more
consistent earnings companies in the market. The other three stocks
are in timely industries where I've seen more stocks making new highs
than in other groups, especially Telecom Services and Apparel Retail.



To: Ms. X who wrote (119)6/19/1998 10:53:00 PM
From: Johnny Lo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 389
 
My Stock Picks


LOW, MDT, MSFT, PFE, XON
[Sorry not into RS or BP yet...trying to understand the charts first]

Lowes Companies (LOW) - Like HD is around its 52 weeks high but has a much
lower P/E. Summer should be their strong season and they should not be affect
by Asia woes except maybe getting cheaper supplies. It has been in a
steady uptrend since the beginning of the year and currently at a double top
$84. Pull back to 81 11/16 on Friday but not enough to cause a reversal and
provided a better entry point. Above bsl (currently $79).

Medtronics (MDT) - producer of cardiac and neurological products such as
cardiac pacemaker, defibrillators and hearts values. Pull back today 1 7/16 but
chart still in tact. Double top formed at $60 and above bsl.

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) - expect that Win98 and NT sales to be good.
Only stock in the 5 that advance on Friday, gaining 3 1/2 pts to 94 11/16.
Added 2 X's (to 94) on the chart and it had already exceeded a double top when
X added at 92.

[For jan's collection - obviously did not influence picking MSFT]
There are three engineers in a car, an electrical engineer, a chemical
engineer, and a Microsoft engineer. Suddenly the car just stops by the
side of the road, and the three engineers look at each other wondering
what could be wrong. The electrical engineer suggests stripping down
the electronics of the car and trying to trace where a fault might
have occurred. The chemical engineer, not knowing much about cars
suggests that maybe the fuel is becoming emulsified and getting
blocked somewhere. Then, the Microsoft engineer, not knowing much
about anything, comes up with a suggestion. "Why don't we close all
the windows, get out, get back in,open the windows again, and maybe
it'll work!?"

Pfizer (PFE) - latest drug viagra has gotten it price up and has a strong
pipeline of drugs. Currently at a double top formation of 114 and would
be very positive if it exceeds 116 (triple top? - hope I got the chart correct)
Resistance in the 114-116 level. Stop out at 102.
[Jan could you post a chart of PFE later some time]

Exxon (XON) - Oil price at a 12 year low and there is a glut of supply.
XON seems to be holding it value compared to drillers. Short term oil price
could firm if OPEC member cutback productions and summer usage increase.
I expect little downside risk. Long term you have got to be positive
on the price of oil.
Has had a major pullback from its the highs ($76 52weeks) in early May to
(early?) June ($68) and reverse up to 71 where it is now. Above its bsl.

John