SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: limtex who wrote (11523)6/16/1998 8:45:00 AM
From: Jeff Vayda  Respond to of 152472
 
Limtex:

Reread your own post to Jim. You have the correct long term view point in the fifth paragraph. The value of the Q and its IPR has not changed. Sure short term, various countries/regions will choose to redirect their available capital in response to global and local economic pressures, but long term the infrastructure will need to be built to expand and grow the economies. Q will benefit from this build out. The Q is a good investment. Investment = long term money, money that you dont need for >3 years.

Buy and hold and sleep at night.

Jeff Vayda



To: limtex who wrote (11523)6/16/1998 12:23:00 PM
From: bananawind  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
 
Limtex,

Thanks for the classy reply. Your absence the last few days had me worried that the tone my post had been too harsh. I am gratified to see my awkward scribbles did not have unintended consequences.

You are, of course, correct about the therapeutic value of these forums. Indeed, given the emotional content of my earlier post to you, there is no way I could think otherwise!

Valuation? For me not much has changed other than increased media attention and the predictable emotional response it carries. The solvency of asian institutions, while somewhat of a moving target due to dollar denominated loans, is hardly an issue that has not been discussed at length. The asians are having a recession whose length and depth are as yet unknown. Is there a chance it spreads elsewhere? Sure. Is there a chance of the Great Depression II scenario you have painted? I suppose.

Whatever probabilities you would place on these scenarios, it is meaningless unless whatever investment discipline you follow gives much weight to such factors. As an owner of businesses I have learned I can neither predict nor affect these kinds of macroeconomic variables, so I don't waste alot of time or emotional capital in trying. About the best I can do is try to own good businesses which I have acquired at attractive prices, so that is what I spend the majority of my time and brainpower doing. Although I wish I were smart enough to make global predictions that would alert me as to when to buy and sell businesses, experience indicates I have very little talent in this regard.

-JLF