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Technology Stocks : TAVA Technologies (TAVA-NASDAQ) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JDN who wrote (18705)6/18/1998 11:49:00 AM
From: RAVEL  Respond to of 31646
 
JDN, I think you may be right. I've brought down SG&A to 19% for 1999 and it brings EPS to 1.28. Not bad! As for Q4, I'm looking for 5 cents. I have no doubts that management is being very conservative in guiding Hanefin. Looking for a nice upside surprise.

RAVEL



To: JDN who wrote (18705)6/18/1998 1:39:00 PM
From: James Strauss  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 31646
 
What Is TAVA Worth...

If we just use the 1.10 eps est it doesn't take a rocket
scientist to project future prices...

P/E Projected Price
~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
15 16.50
20 22.00
25 27.50
30 33.00
35 38.50
40 44.00
45 49.50
50 55.00

Knowing that P/E's can go to extremes, (AOL, AMZN),even a
P/E of 50 is not unreasonable...

Jim



To: JDN who wrote (18705)6/18/1998 5:37:00 PM
From: Rick Bullotta  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 31646
 
26% high??? You gotta be kidding me! That's not bad at all, compared to history and other companies...salespeople don't work for free in this industry, and the good ones make a nice living, often in double digit percentages on sales. I don't think I'd use a lower number than 26%, or it starts to become wishful thinking...take a look at their current overhead costs (buildings, computers, etc), the HR costs (recruiting and ongoing), marketing costs, the salaries (and options) on their execs, plus the normal SG&A stuff, and you might reconsider.

I still think 1.10 is even aggressive...remember, there are OVER 20 MILLION SHARES out...the margins will be really good, but the "denominator" is what kills it...



To: JDN who wrote (18705)6/18/1998 7:01:00 PM
From: Rick Bullotta  Respond to of 31646
 
Here are some quick calculations of SG&A percentages I came up with (10K's I found searching for publicly-traded systems integrators) for about the closest I could think of for NASDAQ comparables.

ISCG 31%
SAPE 25%
SYNT 25%
CGIX 31%
CMSX 22%

And many of these guys are in the "100 million dollar" club. SG&A really drops off for the "body shops" and for the really big boys like CSC and their ilk.