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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gersh Avery who wrote (20738)6/20/1998 5:31:00 PM
From: set  Respond to of 94695
 
> Chances are that the Euro will then replace the dollar
> as the main storage medium .. That leaves both Japan
> and the US behind the eight ball.

let me run through a thought experiment here.

consider dollar buying yen as a merger accounted as
a pooling. After the initial adjustment of currencies,
the combined currency has to be priced against everything
else from oil to the euro.

ok. So far I'm just following your lead in the above
paragraph, although the merger idea gets absurd pretty
quickly.

nevertheless some conclusions can be drawn. Most of
them along the lines of - while it's not bullish,
it is a step away from the brink of disaster.
For example oil bought in dollars will get more
expensive, but only to the point the market will bear,
which aught to remain below the levels of previous
years. The end result is stability, though at a cost.

Another way to state this is that our strongest
currency is the current strength of the domestic economy,
and now, to put it kindly, we're investing that money
in the hope of shallowing the impending dip.

I still don't understand why the market went up on this
news, but then I don't really understand what it's doing
up here in the first place.

Shahar