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To: Jeff Fox who wrote (58466)6/22/1998 3:44:00 PM
From: dougjn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
<<RDRAM will not become commodity status for many years. In the mean time there will be tight supplies requiring expert ramp up control to do it right. Big resource shift and big money doing the shifting. The companies that negotiate the ramp correctly will make good money off RDRAMS during the next five years.>>

I have no idea how long it will take for the RDRAM market to become saturated, but I have no doubt but that you are right that the early producers of good working RDRAM silicon will make good money.

Also, the architecture itself -- what Rambus is selling -- is protected IP (patents), and will not become a commodity. Ever, or for 17 years, which is forever. The implementations of RDRAM by the memory producers will I think largely become a commodity in time -- but you may know more about why that will be a slower than usual process than I do.

Certainly it is a much bigger shift than the shift from 16mb to 64mb RAM.

Doug



To: Jeff Fox who wrote (58466)6/22/1998 3:45:00 PM
From: StockMan  Respond to of 186894
 
Jeff,
Re -- RDRAM will not become commodity status for many years.

Intel's model is to drive the latest technology into volume (where they make the money) as fast as possible.

To this extent Intel wil have RDRAM in sub-1000 PC's within a year after its release (Similar to the PC100 ram).

RAM is not where Intel makes the money. Thus RDRAM will become a commodity soon after its release.

Stockman