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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (7260)6/23/1998 9:26:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
PowerPacket:
Anyone for Tax on Internet Commerce?

By Steve Harmon
Senior Investment Analyst
Internet.com
"Where Wall Street Meets The Web"

Nothing puts fear and loathing in Las Vegas or Wall Street like the mention of tax. The
stocks of Internet commerce companies especially, including Amazon.com, Onsale,
Egghead.com, CDnow and N2K are vulnerable to possible backlash if the U.S. or any
other government starts applying taxation to transactions.

Meanwhile, Internet service providers could be hurting if a usage tax gets applied to
them as the huge telephone giants beg their Washington contacts to levy the old-world
tariffs in the monopoly-free environment of the World Wide Web.

In this special Internet Stock Report we gathered some of our notable readers together
and asked:

"Should governments tax Internet commerce?"


"Governments can tax whatever they want, but if they tax Internet
commerce they will lose out. Looking ahead, I don't know exactly how we
make the transition, but I believe that in the long run we will probably end
up taxing real estate since that's the main thing that can't move from one
physical jurisdiction to another.

Now if you mean *Net* governments, they probably *will* tax Net
commerce - with "taxes" otherwise known as transaction fees, commissions,
memberships, subscriptions . . .

FWIW, still looking ahead: The element of choice is key, and I want to
make sure that my browser vendor, for example, does not tax me, directly
or indirectly, especially if I have no choice of browser.

- Esther Dyson, Internet & PC luminary

"What I am certain about is that I do think they will want to!

Assuming e-commerce grows to projections, U.S. state governments will
push for this at the very least to gain some additional "revenue sharing" with
the U.S. federal government.

On the broader scale of the world, national governments will probably be
forced to apply taxation merely at the corporate level and not at the
transactional level. There will be too much technology change and loopholes
to plug to properly determine, tax, and deposit e-commerce transactions.

I believe that governments should not tax e-commerce transactions as it will
drastically affect their nation's ability to move into the "new economy."

-George Zachary, venture capitalist, Mohr Davidow Ventures

"I do believe that governments should tax Internet commerce, just as
they should any other commerce. The question for me is should they
tax at the point of origin or destination?

The implications are profound in the marketshare to be gained or lost by
organizations moving offshore to do business, an inevitability in the
Internet. Instant wealth will be created in countries that have the lowest tax
rate. At the same time, one would not expect the same level of government
protection from fraud in highly unregulated environments.

Confidence is key to making commerce happen, so we should strive to set
some boundaries and taxes should help to pay for this (in a perfect world).
Bottom line, I'm choking as I say that governments should tax commerce
(not to support the billion dollar screwdriver business, but legitimate
commercial transactions).

-David Takata, stock analyst, Gruntal & Co. Investment Bank


Steve Harmon's PowerPacket is brought to you by Mecklermedia's InternetNews.com & is a
special edition of Internet Stock Report. If your business is the Web, Internet Stock Report is a
must read. Spread the word and join thousands of other readers including Microsoft's Bill
Gates, Yahoo's Jerry Yang, Hummer Winblad's Ann Winblad, AOL's Ted Leonsis and more!

Accolades for Internet Stock Report:

"Fresh and provocative" -CBS Marketwatch, which named Steve Harmon one of the top
Internet stock analysts and only independent one honored

"I am a huge fan of Steve Harmon's crack analysis" -Kleiner Perkins' John Doerr



To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (7260)6/24/1998 1:33:00 AM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
Hi Skeeter Bug; Well, I have to admit, I bought AMZN
today. A daytrader reports:

I bought and sold three times, 200 shares each.
Lost 11/32, made 1/4, and made 1/2, overall made
13/32. I'm kind of embarassed about losing money
on the first trade, cause I was up around 1/4 at one
time in it. Too much greed. Purchases were at
13:57:05, 14:50:40, and 14:59:51, EST.

I owned the stock for 5:13, 0:40 and 2:12, or a total of
8 minutes, 5 seconds. This means I only had my
money at risk for about 2% of the day, which reduced
my risk considerably. In addition, I've got level-2
Nasdaq quotes, so I can tell how much depth there
is to the market below the highest bid. Thus when I
go into a trade, I know about what my loss will be if
the stock starts to turn against me. And if that stock
starts to go against me, I dump it hard and fast. If
you have to stay in the game to earn a living, you
have to use stop losses.

Incidentally, professional traders have a practice of
limiting the amount of money they have at risk on any
one trade. This prevents them from losing their capital
through a series of unlucky or stupid plays. The usual
limitation is 2% of capital per trade. A trader with a
$100,000 account should only put about $2000 at risk
on any one trade, or any one collection of very similar
trades. Since AMZN can move about 10 points in a
day, this means no more than 200 shares of AMZN
in that $100,000 account. I believe that owning more
is what the pros call "overtrading" and effectively turns
investing into gambling. I only trade 200 shares of AMZN,
cause it is illiquid as all hell. With 200 shares I can almost
always get out at the next price level. With 500 shares,
you might end up having to use two price levels.

Recently the stock has predictably ran up another 50
cents or more whenever it sets a new all time high. This
is what I've been trading on, I buy when I see it make a
new high, then offer it out into momentum. I won't usually
make the whole move, cause of slippage and other delays.

As far as a long term play, AMZN is still running on very
high volume. So don't short it yet. Wait until it has a day
when the volume is roughly half what it is right now. To
go into the trade earlier is know as "picking a top", and
it is not a good idea.

So all you bears, limit your share size to small enough
amount that it doesn't leave you bummed out. (Try trading
with a 2% limit. You will find it very relaxing, unemotional,
and rewarding.) Also don't try to pick tops arbitrarily, instead
learn some technical analysis to get you into these trades at
reasonable times. If you are dead set on shorting AMZN,
I suggest looking over the chart for the last year carefully.
You might look at how long upswings and downswings in
the stock last, and how much it moves during those swings.
Short the stock when it is in an identifiable down swing, but
not so far into it that it is close to turning on you. I suggest
watching the volume, and waiting until the (mindless)
daytraders get tired of it and quit selling it to each other...

-- Carl