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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Captain Jack who wrote (18039)6/23/1998 11:59:00 PM
From: joe  Respond to of 45548
 


john,

I hear you!

>>Good numbers will see us over 28 and rising... great numbers and we will be over 30 - 32 quickly.<<

About a 2 or 3 weeks ago, weren't you thinking that good
numbers would get us to 35 again? Sounds like you've gotten
a little more pesimistic? - not meant to be critical, just
asking. The reason is because I've detected this in other
peoples posts also - I think.

I think it's because for the last month, earnings revisions
have been going down. But if COMS shows a decent report,
AND VISIBILITY with modem sales, then later on in the
quarter those numbers will be revised upwards...we'll just
have to see what the cc says. There's all kinds of
stuff that can come out of it.

It seems to me, that if a stock is beaten up badly enough,
then just any measly sequential growth will be enough
to make it go up. But, maybe tomorrow's numbers, if good,
will not be seen as sequential, so maybe it depends on
the COMS spin control - which will be hard because of
public skepticism....

John, if you see a bad number, are you dumping immediately?
I guess you can come back a quarter or two later if
you see that the tide has definitely changed.

But then again, if a bad number comes out, then
COMS may be merger bait. Would you hang around
for that? I'll bet by this August or September,
merger fever will be stronger than ever. Seems to
me that the price is cheap enough already, where
the company itself can be sliced and diced, and
sold in various combinations, keep the good, throw
away the bad.

>> After 2 bad sets of
numbers it is hard to get people to trust in a company and they have to prove they are
good and the good numbers are not a fluke--- harder and more time is required. That
eliminates the traders and institutional buyers... that eliminates the momentum players
and the price languishes if it is lucky,,, if not lucky a steady slow, hardly noticable
decline.<<

This sounds like where we've been this last month. Have you
ever been in a stock that 'languishes' as you said? It
must be in extremely pitiful situation, just waiting for
nothing else but to be bought out or become a penny stock
and rejected by the NASDAQ board (if that's how it works).

>>serious mgmt changes <<

I can't wait till they hire a new COO. I've heard they're
close. Maybe they'll update us on this tomorrow.

Forgive me if this post makes no sense,
gotta get some sleep and face the news tomorrow

Good luck,
joe