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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Henry Volquardsen who wrote (259)6/24/1998 10:16:00 AM
From: Chip McVickar  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3536
 
Henry,
For Keynes, government was the solution. That like himself the noble elite 'wisemen'
would always be able save the world through economic intervention.

Friedman and the moneterists advanced the 'floating currency' era and
supported the importance of the federal reserve system to set monetary
supply and to a great extent monitary polices.

Reganomics(in its broadest sense), I believe, brought the G7 cartel together
for pegging the dollar and setting international monitary polices. But
these are still interventionists market principles. This is a pact of
a few powerful poeple and countries, that in and of itself removes any
presumable free foreign exchange markets. Leaving companies who wish
to compete in the international market place scavenging for tips and
inside information on how to value there products and services.

Along with this you have the fairly new world of professional currency
traders who are creating more powerful vehicles and have been competing
if not defeating the policies of the G7 and monetary interventionists.
Currancy traders spend there time looking for imperfections and windows
of opportunity to exploit currency imbalances. Much of the impetus for
this came from the necessity of the financial industry and larger corporations
to defend themselves against the G7.

EMU is going to be another form of interventionist cadre of elitists.
But this new system is something closer to Open Pegged Rates, where atleast
the rate of exchange is set out in specific terms. But this is going to
require an unheard of amount of cooperation and civility. A union
very much in question as shown by the Duisenberg's article and already
existing complications like debt and unemployment.

I put those 2 articles together to open a line of conversation and try
to gain an insight into whats ahead for monitary policy. It is obvious
that there is a certain "dirty" aspect in todays international monetary
relations....Asia is an example and Japan may become an example for the
whole unstable system in place today.

I believe you favor 'currency regulatiry boards' as in Argentina, but
does this carry over to free market policies? Also if you favor a pure
Adam Smith-style of economics have you also adopted more modern thinkers?
Chip