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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: joe who wrote (10489)	6/24/1998 10:20:00 AM
From: Dale Baker	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 18691

Weapons of mass destruction are far more effective as a threat than in practice, for a lot of reasons I won't go into here. Anyone think the Internet stocks are getting tired, or just a morning tea break?

To: joe who wrote (10489)	6/24/1998 10:21:00 AM
From: virgil vancleave	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 18691

looks like a lot of people may be faked out by this little short covering rally. market is turning down as i write. if your not short yet, you still have time. likely free fall candidates in my opinion: amzn, cmgi, sctr, file, aol, yhoo, and many others. looks like trouble ahead. good luck all

To: joe who wrote (10489)	6/24/1998 10:25:00 AM
From: Nevada	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 18691

Off Topic- help needed I have been asked by my university to help set up a portfolio tracker for gov bonds, treasury bills and the like- found some symbols but Yahoo Portfolio doesn't recognize them. The university needs the same type of info that the Yahoo portfolio tracks- any suggestions- Just a way some of you might kill time until that damn Amazon and that *** Yahoo decided to goes south for us.

To: joe who wrote (10489)	6/24/1998 10:52:00 AM
From: Joey Two-Cents	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 18691

Hard to disperse, hard to conceal. A truck load of manure and diesel fuel is cheaper and as effective in sending a message. Also, Sadams crazy not stupid. We should just have Sadam trade us oil for AMZN stock and wait for his country to collapse. Just picture it 10 million starving Iraqi's building houses out of Kitty Kelly novels, eating Julia Child cook books, stoning adulterers with Martha Stewart novels. And when they're bug eyed from all that reading we just roll right in.

To: joe who wrote (10489)	6/24/1998 7:09:00 PM
From: BelowTheCrowd	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 18691

Saddam knows that he has been able to survive because he mostly chose victims nobody really cared about. Let's face it. Nobody in the US really cares about the "Kuwaiti People." We care about the people who pump the oil, and making sure they still work with us. We don't trust Saddam to do that so we took the place back, but we don't care enough at a personal level to want to wipe him off the face of the earth, kill lots of civilians, etc. As such, his risk is limited. He pushes too far and we'll push him back, and minimal personal cost. That scenario changes REALLY fast if he actually attacks western powers with biological weapons. It would have the same effect as Pearl Harbor. Very few would care about Saddam's well being or worry about a few million Iraqi civilian casualties after that, just as nobody felt sorry for the firebombing of Tokyo and Dresden not too long ago. Our enemies know it. We didn't get into WWI until US ships were being torpedoed offshore. We didn't get into WWII until Pearl Harbor. Korea and Vietnam were doomed because most people at home just didn't care and the personal costs too high. Grenada, the Gulf, Panama and others have been successful because they've been relatively bloodless and great TV entertainment for the kids. Bring the war home to the US in a graphic way, and Saddam guarantee's his own destruction. 1945 Dresden would look nice compared to what we could do to Bahgdad with modern weaponry and the collective desire to use it. He's a smart one. The Gulf War didn't cost him a thing, and raised his stature in the third world. He won't risk that just to kill a few thousand civilians. mg