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Technology Stocks : TLAB info? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Beltropolis Boy who wrote (2609)6/25/1998 2:20:00 AM
From: dougjn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 7342
 
Thanks, that's just what I did see.

While shy of what I described, isn't Tlab a leading company in this area of telecom services over cable?

It appears that nobody has really done that much there, at least according to something I saw in theStreet.com:

------snip-------

Top Stories: AT&T-TCI Plans Hinge on
Unproven Technology

By George Mannes
Staff Reporter
6/24/98 5:13 PM ET

Buying the cable giant Tele-Communications Inc.
(TCOMA:Nasdaq) may answer AT&T's (T:NYSE) prayers of
breaking into the $100 billion-plus local telephone market. But
technological complexities related to the move make the
strategy harder than it first appears.

There's no question that AT&T hopes to offer local telephone
service through TCI's cables, which the companies say will
pass by the doorsteps of about a third of America's households.

"Today we are beginning to answer a big part of the question
about how we will provide local service to U.S. consumers," said
AT&T chairman and CEO C. Michael Armstrong in a statement
the company released today as it announced the $32 billion
deal.

In a follow-up press conference, Armstrong explained how AT&T
expects to offer local phone service, using Internet protocols,
over TCI's broadband cable connections to people's homes.
The merged company also expects to sell a host of other
services to customers over that cable wire, such as movies on
demand and high-speed data connections.

There's just one problem: The technology on which AT&T and
TCI are basing their grand vision of local phone service -- using
Internet telephony over a cable system's wires -- doesn't exist
yet. At least not outside the lab.

"It's not something you can buy off the shelf today, but we hope
you can do that in a reasonable time frame going forward," says
David Reed, vice president of strategic assessment at Cable
Television Laboratories. The nonprofit organization, known as
CableLabs, is the high-profile research and development
consortium funded by TCI and numerous other companies in
the cable industry.

Reed said he couldn't comment on what achievements TCI or
AT&T might have made on their own in the area of Internet
protocol (IP) telephony. But he said that CableLabs, which
started a project nine months ago to build specifications for IP
phone calls over cable networks, will likely spend a year more
on the project before cable operators can use it on a limited
basis. "You're probably looking at a 12 to 24 month type thing for
initial equipment to be available," he said. (TSC did a four-part
series on Internet telephony earlier this year.)

Berge Ayvazian, executive vice president of the Yankee Group, a
technology market research firm, said the AT&T-TCI deal
anticipates a world where telephone conversations will be
running over the cable network along with high-speed Internet
traffic. "That's where we're headed here, and that's what Mike
Armstrong is anticipating," he said.

But although IP telephony does exist -- for example, AT&T is
running a service in Boston that routes long-distance calls over
an IP network -- no one is routing IP calls over local cable TV
wires.

Along with its legal and regulatory battles, AT&T has tried
several different technical approaches to getting into the local
phone market. It has licenses it can use for fixed wireless
connections to home phones, and in January it agreed to
purchase the local exchange carrier Teleport Communications
Group (TCGI:Nasdaq).

Meanwhile, cable operators have long tried to deliver telephone
service via local cable TV wires. In 1993, for example,
Cablevision Systems (CVC:AMEX) tested portable wireless
phones that relied in part on TV cables snaking through Long
Island neighborhoods. More recently, TCI has tested local
telephone service via cable wires in three different communities
around the U.S. Cox Communications (COX:NYSE) and
MediaOne (UMG:NYSE) have brought the service to market as
well. These phone systems, however, don't employ IP, but an
older communications system known as "circuit-switched."

Adding to the technical challenge for TCI, the cable operator's
network is not yet ready for IP telephony. The phone system
requires what's known as a "hybrid fiber-coax" network, or what
TCI chairman and CEO John Malone referred to in today's press
conference as "fiber to the node." In such a cable network, fiber
optic lines link a cable system's headquarters directly to
neighborhoods of roughly 200 to 2,000 homes; from there, each
home is linked to the network via the cable industry's traditional
coaxial cable.

Only 60% of TCI's plant is fiber-to-the-node, Malone said in
yesterday's press conference. Furthermore, no more than half of
the fiber-to-the-node network is ready for two-way
communications, though the upgrade process is simple,
Malone said. TCI, which put the brakes on a planned network
upgrade a year and a half ago, will be fully rebuilt as a
fiber-to-the-node network by the end of the year 2000, Malone
said.

Armstrong said the cost of providing local phone service
appeared to be about $400-$500 per customer, including not
only equipment for the home but also end-to-end plant costs.

-----snip-------

Doug



To: Beltropolis Boy who wrote (2609)6/25/1998 11:01:00 AM
From: Paul Shread  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 7342
 
Chris,

That sounds like a great system and could definitely explain at least some of the pop in TLAB shares. I'm also wondering if some of it had to do with CSCO saying there would be no deal with NT and LU. That sure makes a company like TLAB attractive to CSCO, as it would give them inroads into level 1. I'm long CSCO, and I would favor a TLAB deal, even thought it would mean a short-term hit for CSCO. Any thoughts?

Paul