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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (11817)	6/25/1998 10:21:00 PM
From: engineer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 152472

Plotted your numbers and did a curve fit into Excel (yes, I am an engineer....<ggg>). I come up with an extrapolated number of close to 20M by end of the year,but closer to 45-50M by end of the next year (99). It is defintly exponential growth. one thing to remember is that for the first 2-3 years, the basestations were the problems, in that there were installation bugs and such and also rollout plans. Now that most of that is worked out,the basestations are pretty much routine to install, lots of field educated people, etc. This will help it roll out...at least that would be the hope. also the fact that there are many emerging countries where CDMA is just rolling out, such as china, Russia, India, South America. Once it is accepted into those countries, then the growth should pick up. 60M in 12/99? who knows. good goal. Be interested in the same data set for GSM numbers plotted over time. How about since day one system turn on like the 12/94 date numbers we got for CDMA. I think it would be like 1989 or 1990 for the starting date.