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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9 who wrote (46975)6/27/1998 8:05:00 PM
From: Leland Charon  Respond to of 58727
 
Lisa,

That was a great article you posted about S&P Futures trading. 1 client out of 200 making a large amount of money, pretty amazing. I for one admire Tom Trader in that he too sticks to his method and puts on the trade no matter what he "may think." Discipline is the key to making money in the markets. I certainly have become more disciplined in the last couple of years.

Great article,

Leland



To: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9 who wrote (46975)6/28/1998 7:06:00 AM
From: Patrick Slevin  Respond to of 58727
 
I'm sure I posted this before but if you want market links try this

smotass.net

I had another that was excellent but I don't recall where I filed it.



To: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9 who wrote (46975)6/28/1998 12:04:00 PM
From: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
Dr Ed Yardeni's site

yardeni.com

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To: +MonsieurGonzo (3140 )
From: +Berney
Sunday, Jun 28 1998 3:36AM ET
Reply # of 3142

A Late Night BAMBI Commentary

No, not that Bambi; my BAMBI.

First, the current observations of the week that was. BAMBI is still
a bearish 16 to 14, but that is a dramatic improvement over the
previous week. 14 of the DJIA stocks beat the Index and I consider
that modestly bullish. More importantly, we had four bullish signals
(JNJ, PG, MO, and AXP). These are the first bullish signals signals
since April 24 and the most since mid-Feb. There was one bearish
signal (DD); however, having had 14 in the last 4 weeks, this is a
positive sign.

Since BAMBI takes some effort to maintain, I reviewed in detail the
prior 21 weeks from 1/30 to 6/19. I wanted to see if there was any
reasonable correlation between the classification and subsequent
performance (i.e., against the S&P 500 Index). There were 21 weeks
involved; thus, 630 chances for a DJIA stock to beat the Index in a
given week (21 wks x 30 stocks). The DJIA stocks rose to the occasion
308 times, or 49%. Time to get a dart board?

Let's see how the MACD classification affected the outcome:

MACD
TYPE PERCENT

1 86
2 58
3 32
4 19
5 37
6 70

I conclude that it is worth the effort.

I could go into the issues more, but let me just leave you with a
couple of interesting tidbits. First, there was no occasion in the
past (no guarantee for future results) where the S&P Index was
negative in the week following any bullish signals by DJIA stocks
(read the first paragraph again).

More interesting, in the weeks the Index was positive, DJIA stocks
only beat the Index 39% of time. While in the weeks in which the
Index was negative, the DJIA stocks beat the Index 81% of the time. I
did not expect this conclusion; however, it brought home what running
for cover really means.

Hope you enjoy, as I'm summarizing about 10 hours of effort. As I
probably stated before, I got this really bad habit of asking myself a
question for which the answer takes a lot of effort.

BWDIK

Berney

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