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Gold/Mining/Energy : Lundin Oil (LOILY, LOILB Sweden) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Timelord who wrote (644)6/29/1998 7:37:00 PM
From: Greywolf  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2742
 
Alex,

As far as OPEC's production cut backs go I would think it would take somewhere between 3-6 months before we see any real effect. That is if they now are true to their word, yet I belive more now than before that they are. Venezuela is in the throws of pre-elections and because of this it is sinking fast as an economy as the price of oil has been used as an election promise - gone terribly wrong. The list of countries in dire trouble is as long as OPEC member list. This time it is national economics at play and that weighs heavily in reductions favour. That the market is out to lunch as far as oil goes is not so strange when you think about it. How many "gurus" thought the reductions would be nil or far less than expected? More than enough red faces are now sitting at their desks trying to put together a good face saving reason to suggest investment in something they said 2 weeks ago was a dead horse bound for the meat market.

Lundin as you say seems to be caught in an unlucky loop, as soon as there is news on the horizon something else bogs the stock price down.

One has to remember that the stock went from the low teens to well above 60kronor on pure speculation. Now that we know all about Libya, Malaysia etc the stock price dies. Yet this is the weird an wonderful world of commodities, at least in some stocks related to that field.

I can understand that American investors are a bit apprehensive when it comes to Libya but you have to recall that most of the oil industry in the US is built on companies that did business in places few would touch with a ten foot cattle prod.

Stay with the stock and the philosophy behind it. Lundin may be a lot of hot gas at stock holder meetings and put more into his role as a showman than serious company representation. Yet when it comes down to brass tacks the man is hard as nails.

The Greywolf site just came to be but it seems a few are interested in the stuff put on it so I will try to include more commodities and info about companies in the sector.

Later mate,

Greywolf



To: Timelord who wrote (644)7/21/1998 9:25:00 PM
From: Tomas  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2742
 
The Falklands: Rumours that Shell has been successful gained pace
Electronic Telegraph, Wednesday. By Jan Eakin

The Market: Tiddlers strike lucky on Shell's back
Investors' hopes of striking gold as oil explorers strive to strike oil in the Falklands were given another boost yesterday, as rumours that Shell has been successful gained pace.
While Shell - too big for the speculation to make an impact on its share price - fell 7.5 to 416p, the tiddlers drilling in the region enjoyed strong rallies for the second consecutive day. Westmount Energy gained 8pc to 122.5p, Greenwich Resources jumped 10pc to 25p and Desire Petroleum strengthened 11pc to 210.5p. Such speculation has surrounded the Falklands for several months now.

However, the latest twist in the saga concerns Sodra Petroleum, a Swedish-based operation introduced to the Aim market last Friday. The convertible shares closed unchanged at 65.5p.
Stockbroker Greig Middleton, which brought Sodra to the market, points out that the company is next in line to use the oil rig when Shell finishes drilling tranche B in September. With Sodra following in Shell's footsteps, any good news from the oil giant could provide a boost for the Swedish group which owns 100% of tranche F. One dealer agreed that Sodra was a cheaper way into the Falklands picture and said the lack of investor interest so far was because "punters prefer UK stocks".