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Biotech / Medical : ORTC Ortec International -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: fut_trade who wrote (158)6/30/1998 10:16:00 PM
From: Jake  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 272
 
ORTC has been steadily eroding since they have gotten FDA approval. Murphy had been a big fan of shorting the stock in his Overpriced Stock Letter. He was quite incredulous when they got approval.

And when they did he said that the earnings would not come through. His basic tenet was that since their product did not have a shelf life the earnings would not materialize.



To: fut_trade who wrote (158)6/30/1998 10:33:00 PM
From: Jake  Respond to of 272
 
The only problem with that rationale is that ORTC is not marginable. So you can't use it to protect your other holdings.



To: fut_trade who wrote (158)7/2/1998 11:31:00 PM
From: Jake  Respond to of 272
 
No, I meant ORTC. To my mind it only protects a long position if you are worried about margin calls. Stocks fluctuate for many reasons. If you have done your homework you will generally be able to ride through difficult spells.

On the other hand if you are on margin then you have to worry about maintaining a balance.

I haven't been able to margin ORTC. Therefore, the stock stands by itself. Ultimately, it will have been a successful holding if I sell it for a profit.

Since all my purchases have been in the $12 to $14 range I am ahead. However, I also bought some warrants and they are barely ahead. I am not worried though. In any case I am staying away from a margin position since I feel at this point the market can only hold steady at best and go down most likely.

Inflation can't go down from here. The dollar can't go up too much farther. Most economies are in a mess (except the US). Europe is the wild card. Because of the EMU effort things can actually improve there.