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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill Jackson who wrote (33866)7/2/1998 6:42:00 PM
From: Petz  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 1574092
 
AMD Loss Estimate. Yes, unfortunately, a profit for 2nd quarter is
pretty impossible for AMD. The good news is the quantity of K6's sold.
I expect the following:
K6 0.35 1.6M @ $80
K6 0.25 0.8M @ $105
K6-2 0.6M @ $130
-------------------
TOTAL 3.0M @ $97, total CPU revenue $290M
(ASP decline is 10%, quantity up 94%, CPU revenue up 72%, vs Q1)

Non CPG group revenue will decline 5% from $372M to $353M
Breakeven revenue (my guess) is $690M. Others put this between 663
and 700.
Total revenue = $290M + $353M = $643M
Loss (revenue - expenses) = $47M, after taxes, $28.2M or (0.20)/share

In the CC, I believe AMD will predict sales of at least 4M K6's in the
3rd quarter, but they are already exceeding that production rate now.

Petz