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Biotech / Medical : PFE (Pfizer) How high will it go? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: BigKNY3 who wrote (3898)7/3/1998 12:39:00 PM
From: Sonki  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9523
 
whispernumber hotties...just rumors worth looking at.

The BIG Hottie!!
COMPANY
TICKER
Current Report
Date
CONSENSUS
WHISPER
UPDATED
Future Report
Pfizer
PFE
7/15
.44
.57
6/25

Date
COMPAQ
CPQ
7/16
.00
-.07
6/25
10/16



HOTTIES: Our Top 10 Hot Whisper Stocks:


COMPANY
TICKER
CURRENT
REPORT DATE
CONSENSUS
WHISPER
UPDATED
FUTURE REPORT
DATE
Microsoft
MSFT
7/20
.48
.44
6/25
10/20
Real Networks
RNWK
7/20
-.10
.01
6/25
10/27
Cisco
CSCO
8/5
.47
.51
6/25
11/2
Travelers
TRV
7/20
.82
.94
6/25
10/16
AOL
AOL
7/30
.19
.05
6/25
11/6
Yahoo!
YHOO
7/8
.09
-.03
6/25
10/8

10/14
Peoplesoft
PSFT
7/22
.14
.21
6/25
10/21
Amazon.com
AMZN
7/22
-.41
-.56
6/25
10/23
Infoseek
SEEK
7/20
-.07
-.12
6/25
10/23


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To: BigKNY3 who wrote (3898)7/3/1998 5:09:00 PM
From: BigKNY3  Respond to of 9523
 
Here's this week's Barrons' key PFE articles: an analyst supporting his PFE "hold" position and a letter from a happy patient.

Have PFun!

BigKNY3
___________________________________
Despite Near-Term Negatives, Dow Noses Above 9000
By ANDREW BARY

Is Viagra starting to fade? Following a steady decline in new prescriptions during the past month, there's some concern on Wall Street that Pfizer's widely hyped impotence drug may not prove to be a multibillion-dollar blockbuster. The worries have depressed Pfizer's stock, which has become prisoner to developments surrounding Viagra in recent months.

Pfizer fell 4 7/16 to 107 1/2 last week, and is down from a record 121 3/4 at the time of the drug's launch in late April.

New prescriptions for Viagra peaked at over 278,000 in the week ended May 18 but fell to 151,000 in the week ended June 19, the most recent reporting period, according to IMS America, the Nielsen of the drug business. The weekly "script" data are still extraordinarily high for a new pharmaceutical, and refill prescriptions for Viagra continue to increase.

But given the enormous expectations for the drug and the runup in Pfizer's stock this year, any indication of slowing momentum for Viagra causes some nervousness among investors. Pfizer is up 44% in 1998, 78% in the past year and commands the highest multiple in the drug group, trading at over 50 times projected 1998 profits.

"A lot of people are saying Viagra will do $1 billion in sales this year and eventually hit $5-$10 billion annually. I don't think that will happen," says James Flynn, drug analyst at Furman Selz. Flynn, who recently downgraded Pfizer to Hold from Buy, sees Viagra ringing up $2 billion in annual sales in five years, an impressive level but below the most optimistic projections. Flynn says the recent prescription data show Viagra's U.S. sales running at an annual rate of $700 million.

"If you look at lifestyle drugs, they typically peak about three months after they're launched," he says. The big question regarding Viagra is whether it's just another "lifestyle" drug like diet pills or baldness remedies and thus lacks staying power. Or is Viagra, which already has had the strongest debut of any drug in history, on its way to becoming the biggest-selling prescription drug in history?
_____________________________________________________________
Happy, on Two Counts

To the Editor
"A great investors' drug is one that the patient has to keep buying," Peter Lynch once said. With Viagra we have only seen the top of the iceberg.

There are apparently some 30 million males in the U.S. alone with erectile dysfunction. That doesn't include a sizable, silent and stoic group of gentlemen over 40 with flagging standards. Approximately two-thirds of these two groups can be aided by this drug. Indirect beneficiaries will be Pfizer shareholders -- and you might just see a benign smile on the face of a wife or significant other.

In 1991, age 61, I had radical surgery for the removal of a cancer of the prostate. Viagra isn't an aphrodisiac and should be taken only after consultation with a knowledgeable doctor. But this little blue pill works! Investors, watch your stock rise!

DR. IAN GRANT-WHYTE
Mont Tremblant, Quebec




To: BigKNY3 who wrote (3898)7/3/1998 5:27:00 PM
From: BigKNY3  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 9523
 
Wow, I almost missed this in the same Andrew Barry Barron's article. A counter remark from Christina Heuer!

BigKNY3

Christina Heuer, Smith Barney's drug analyst, says investors are overreacting to the Viagra prescription data. "People are missing the big picture. Pfizer has a brilliant outlook and phenomenal earnings momentum." A Viagra bull, Heuer estimates that sales of the drug will hit $2 billion next year and $5 billion worldwide in 2002. Pfizer, she says, will be powered by Viagra, Lipitor and Celebra, the first of a new class of drugs being developed to treat arthritis pain.

Heuer, a long-time Pfizer fan, sees the company earning $2.15 a share this year, $2.70 in 1999. Her price target for the stock is $150 by the end of 1999.