Dave; The SPX (S&P500 ) may represent 70% of the total market cap, BUT the 50 top stocks in the S&P , have over 50% of it's value !! It's also weighted via market cap. A 1pt move of the top stock skews the index far far more than even the 50th stock. We are in effect back to the NIFTY FIFTY concept of the sixties, index funds must buy and track these suckers it's among the Nifty Fifty they must adjust their holdings the most. ---------------- Top 25 weight April 30th. Symbol Prev Cls Last Trade Volume Change Value Change Gain Trade Date Mkt Cap ^DJI 9048.67 Jul 2 9025.26 N/A -23.41 -0.26% - -0.26% - - - N/A ^IXIC 1914.46 Jul 2 1894.00 N/A -20.46 -1.07% - -1.07% - - - N/A ^NYA 585.60 Jul 2 585.80 N/A +0.20 +0.03% - +0.03% - - - N/A ^OEX 560.60 Jul 2 559.38 N/A -1.22 -0.22% - -0.22% - - - N/A ^SPX 1148.56 Jul 2 1146.42 N/A -2.14 -0.19% - -0.19% - - - N/A GE 91 3/16 Jul 2 90 15/16 2,137,600 -1/4 -0.27% -$8.25 -0.27% $191.81 +6.83% 30-Apr-98 296.3B MSFT 109 3/8 Jul 2 107 1/4 6,830,300 -2 1/8 -1.94% -$51.00 -1.94% $411.00 +19.00% 30-Apr-98 264.3B KO 85 3/4 Jul 2 85 3/8 1,578,200 -3/8 -0.44% -$9.38 -0.44% $237.50 +12.52% 30-Apr-98 210.8B XON 72 15/16 Jul 2 72 7/8 2,592,700 -1/16 -0.09% -$1.56 -0.09% -$1.56 -0.09% 30-Apr-98 178.3B PFE 107 3/16 Jul 2 107 1/2 2,740,800 +5/16 +0.29% $4.06 +0.29% -$82.03 -5.54% 30-Apr-98 140.4B MRK 133 5/32 Jul 2 132 3/4 1,383,200 -13/32 -0.31% -$4.88 -0.31% $147.00 +10.17% 30-Apr-98 158.7B INTC 75 3/16 Jul 2 73 1/4 10,048,500 -1 15/16 -2.58% -$31.00 -2.58% -$121.00 -9.36% 30-Apr-98 124.2B RD 55 7/8 Jul 2 55 5/8 983,200 -1/4 -0.45% -$5.25 -0.45% -$19.69 -1.66% 30-Apr-98 119.3B WMT 60 1/2 Jul 2 60 11/16 1,735,700 +3/16 +0.31% $4.12 +0.31% $222.75 +20.02% 30-Apr-98 135.7B IBM 116 3/4 Jul 2 115 3/16 3,219,800 -1 9/16 -1.34% -$15.62 -1.34% -$6.88 -0.59% 30-Apr-98 108.6B PG 92 5/16 Jul 2 92 9/16 1,098,900 +1/4 +0.27% $3.25 +0.27% $134.88 +12.62% 30-Apr-98 124.1B BMY 116 11/16 Jul 2 119 1/16 1,178,800 +2 3/8 +2.04% $23.75 +2.04% $131.88 +12.46% 30-Apr-98 118.5B LU 84 5/16 Jul 2 82 1/2 3,078,700 -1 13/16 -2.15% -$23.56 -2.15% $82.88 +8.37% 30-Apr-98 108.2B T 56 3/4 Jul 2 54 7/8 13,624,300 -1 7/8 -3.30% -$30.00 -3.30% -$83.00 -8.64% 30-Apr-98 89.128B JNJ 73 1/4 Jul 2 73 11/16 1,593,000 +7/16 +0.60% $5.69 +0.60% $30.06 +3.24% 30-Apr-98 99.085B AIG 146 3/16 Jul 2 146 15/16 662,900 +3/4 +0.51% $5.25 +0.51% $107.63 +11.69% 30-Apr-98 102.8B MO 40 1/2 Jul 2 40 1/8 4,648,300 -3/8 -0.93% -$9.00 -0.93% $67.50 +7.54% 30-Apr-98 97.478B DIS 106 1/4 Jul 2 106 7/16 2,698,000 +3/16 +0.18% $1.31 +0.18% -$125.12 -14.38% 30-Apr-98 72.562B DD 77 Jul 2 76 3/16 1,151,200 -13/16 -1.06% -$8.94 -1.06% $37.12 +4.64% 30-Apr-98 85.978B HWP 58 3/16 Jul 2 57 5/16 3,134,400 -7/8 -1.50% -$8.75 -1.50% -$180.00 -23.90% 30-Apr-98 59.574B LLY 64 9/16 Jul 2 64 7/8 1,886,700 +5/16 +0.48% $3.44 +0.48% -$51.53 -6.74% 30-Apr-98 71.844B SBC 39 5/8 Jul 2 39 7/8 1,877,100 +1/4 +0.63% $4.50 +0.63% -$28.12 -3.77% 30-Apr-98 73.324B CSCO 94 9/16 Jul 2 92 5/8 8,624,000 -1 15/16 -2.05% -$19.38 -2.05% $193.75 +26.45% 30-Apr-98 96.010B BEL 46 7/16 Jul 2 46 1/2 1,404,000 +1/16 +0.13% $0.50 +0.13% -$376.50 -50.30% 30-Apr-98 36.093B NB 79 15/16 Jul 2 82 1/4 3,447,800 +2 5/16 +2.89% $20.81 +2.89% $58.50 +8.58% 30-Apr-98 78.786B Totals: -$149.88-0.49%$978.83+3.34% -------------- Next 26 Symbol Prev Cls Last Trade Volume Change Value Change Gain Trade Date Mkt Cap ^SPX 1148.56 Jul 2 1146.42 N/A -2.14 -0.19% - -0.19% - - 5-Dec-97 N/A TRV 63 1/8 Jul 2 63 5/8 2,559,400 +1/2 +0.79% $5.50 +0.79% $26.81 +3.98% 30-Apr-98 73.172B CCI 155 3/4 Jul 2 157 1/2 1,698,200 +1 3/4 +1.12% $8.75 +1.12% $35.00 +4.65% 30-Apr-98 71.114B G 57 11/16 Jul 2 58 13/16 2,349,500 +1 1/8 +1.95% $13.50 +1.95% $19.23 +2.80% 30-Apr-98 66.071B BLS 68 11/16 Jul 2 68 3/16 1,193,800 -1/2 -0.73% -$5.00 -0.73% $40.00 +6.23% 30-Apr-98 67.512B FNM 64 Jul 2 64 7/8 1,589,800 +7/8 +1.37% $9.62 +1.37% $55.00 +8.35% 30-Apr-98 67.268B MOB 79 1/2 Jul 2 79 1/16 1,375,000 -7/16 -0.55% -$3.50 -0.55% $0.50 +0.08% 30-Apr-98 61.778B AHP 51 11/16 Jul 2 51 7/8 1,882,000 +3/16 +0.36% $2.25 +0.36% $63.75 +11.41% 30-Apr-98 68.092B PEP 42 Jul 2 43 11/16 3,354,200 +1 11/16 +4.02% $25.31 +4.02% $60.01 +10.08% 30-Apr-98 65.139B BAC 90 1/16 Jul 2 92 7/16 1,703,300 +2 3/8 +2.64% $16.62 +2.64% $52.06 +8.75% 30-Apr-98 63.107B CMB 75 1/2 Jul 2 75 7/16 2,363,200 -1/16 -0.08% -$0.50 -0.08% $49.26 +8.89% 30-Apr-98 64.381B FTU 59 Jul 2 59 9/16 1,901,800 +9/16 +0.95% $5.62 +0.95% -$8.12 -1.35% 30-Apr-98 37.479B SGP 94 Jul 2 94 7/16 1,024,500 +7/16 +0.47% $3.06 +0.47% $100.19 +17.86% 30-Apr-98 69.286B ABT 41 7/16 Jul 2 41 3/4 1,150,800 +5/16 +0.75% $5.00 +0.75% $83.00 +14.19% 30-Apr-98 64.444B GTE 56 1/4 Jul 2 56 7/16 1,223,000 +3/16 +0.33% $1.88 +0.33% -$20.00 -3.42% 30-Apr-98 54.326B F 58 3/8 Jul 2 57 7/8 1,452,600 -1/2 -0.86% -$6.00 -0.86% $144.75 +26.33% 30-Apr-98 66.101B CHV 84 15/16 Jul 2 85 1/8 1,178,500 +3/16 +0.22% $1.31 +0.22% $17.06 +2.95% 30-Apr-98 55.676B DELL 93 15/16 Jul 2 92 7/8 4,870,800 -1 1/16 -1.13% -$7.44 -1.13% $84.88 +15.02% 30-Apr-98 58.786B WLA 71 1/2 Jul 2 73 1/16 2,195,800 +1 9/16 +2.19% $4.69 +2.19% $30.00 +15.86% 30-Apr-98 59.874B HD 85 Jul 2 85 7/8 1,836,200 +7/8 +1.03% $6.12 +1.03% $113.75 +23.34% 30-Apr-98 63.099B BA 47 7/16 Jul 2 48 7/16 5,158,100 +1 +2.11% $10.00 +2.11% -$16.23 -3.24% 30-Apr-98 48.940B UN 80 3/4 Jul 2 81 5/16 212,200 +9/16 +0.70% $3.38 +0.70% $40.12 +8.96% 30-Apr-98 52.053B AXP 112 Jul 2 111 5/8 550,500 -3/8 -0.33% -$1.88 -0.33% $48.12 +9.44% 30-Apr-98 51.476B GM 68 1/2 Jul 2 68 7/8 2,004,600 +3/8 +0.55% $2.62 +0.55% $10.50 +2.23% 30-Apr-98 46.035B AIT 44 15/16 Jul 2 44 15/16 999,800 0 0.00% $0.00 0.00% $26.12 +5.58% 30-Apr-98 49.454B MWD 90 1/8 Jul 2 90 3/16 1,048,300 +1/16 +0.07% $0.38 +0.07% $67.88 +14.34% 30-Apr-98 54.190B TWX 86 3/16 Jul 2 85 15/16 625,900 -1/4 -0.29% -$1.50 -0.29% $44.62 +9.47% 30-Apr-98 45.868B Totals: $99.81+0.65%$1,168.28+8.12% Note the move into the second tier , +.65 1st tier -.49 net +.16 but spx net -.19, indicates market is cautious but still strong. ---------------------- Here is the top 15 of the OEX note they are weighted different. Symbol Prev Cls Last Trade Volume Change Value Change Gain Trade Date Mkt Cap ^OEX 560.60 Jul 2 559.38 N/A -1.22 -0.22% - -0.22% - - - N/A GE 91 3/16 Jul 2 90 15/16 2,137,600 -1/4 -0.27% -$8.25 -0.27% $191.81 +6.83% 30-Apr-98 296.3B MSFT 109 3/8 Jul 2 107 1/4 6,830,300 -2 1/8 -1.94% -$51.00 -1.94% $411.00 +19.00% 30-Apr-98 264.3B KO 85 3/4 Jul 2 85 3/8 1,578,200 -3/8 -0.44% -$9.38 -0.44% $237.50 +12.52% 30-Apr-98 210.8B XON 72 15/16 Jul 2 72 7/8 2,592,700 -1/16 -0.09% -$1.56 -0.09% -$1.38 -0.08% 30-Apr-98 178.3B MRK 133 5/32 Jul 2 132 3/4 1,383,200 -13/32 -0.31% -$4.88 -0.31% $147.00 +10.17% 30-Apr-98 158.7B INTC 75 3/16 Jul 2 73 1/4 10,048,500 -1 15/16 -2.58% -$31.00 -2.58% -$120.96 -9.36% 30-Apr-98 124.2B WMT 60 1/2 Jul 2 60 11/16 1,735,700 +3/16 +0.31% $4.12 +0.31% $222.76 +20.03% 30-Apr-98 135.7B IBM 116 3/4 Jul 2 115 3/16 3,219,800 -1 9/16 -1.34% -$15.62 -1.34% -$6.88 -0.59% 30-Apr-98 108.6B BMY 116 11/16 Jul 2 119 1/16 1,178,800 +2 3/8 +2.04% $23.75 +2.04% $131.88 +12.46% 30-Apr-98 118.5B T 56 3/4 Jul 2 54 7/8 13,624,300 -1 7/8 -3.30% -$30.00 -3.30% -$83.00 -8.64% 30-Apr-98 89.128B JNJ 73 1/4 Jul 2 73 11/16 1,593,000 +7/16 +0.60% $5.69 +0.60% $30.06 +3.24% 30-Apr-98 99.085B AIG 146 3/16 Jul 2 146 15/16 662,900 +3/4 +0.51% $5.25 +0.51% $107.62 +11.69% 30-Apr-98 102.8B DIS 106 1/4 Jul 2 106 7/16 2,698,000 +3/16 +0.18% $1.31 +0.18% -$125.12 -14.38% 30-Apr-98 72.562B DD 77 Jul 2 76 3/16 1,151,200 -13/16 -1.06% -$8.94 -1.06% $37.12 +4.64% 30-Apr-98 85.978B HWP 58 3/16 Jul 2 57 5/16 3,134,400 -7/8 -1.50% -$8.75 -1.50% -$180.00 -23.90% 30-Apr-98 59.574B Totals: -$129.25-0.61%, $999.43+5.00% I use to think the OEX was the top 100 of the SPX, but that's not so. Also there is adjustment down to the second tier stocks, it's not enough to say it's weak, but if these top 15 slip very much then the rest will start a slide. You have to smooth them out a few days or over a week to see a trend. Jim
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