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Technology Stocks : Lucent Technologies (LU) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Caroline who wrote (2946)7/4/1998 12:33:00 AM
From: Mandeep Bhullar  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 21876
 
Caroline,
First, the Web site is not mine, I just use it from time to time.
The way I understand parity is the value at which the stock price will converge as option expiration approaches. Many folks subscribe to the theory that most institutions are selling calls and puts, which means they will make money if options expire worthless.

Personally I don't place much credence on this. For e.g the parity for July for Lu according to this site is 70, however, at this stage it is "highly unlikely" the price will converge to this value. Since the stock is trading much higher it is evident the folks who sold July 70 calls have lost money. Another example the site shows the parity for AOl for July to be 50, the stock is trading at 110, completely blows this theory away.

To me the game is not that simple, can't simply look at the option price where most calls and puts will expire worthless and assume stock will close around that price. Again this is my personal experience.

Regards,
Mandeep



To: Caroline who wrote (2946)7/5/1998 7:31:00 PM
From: OMM  Respond to of 21876
 
Caroline,
PMFJI, parity is simply the amount by which the underlying stock price is "in the money". If LU is trading at 82 for instance, the parity of the 70 calls is 12. The 70 puts are out of the money and have no parity. The parity of the 90 puts would be 8. Of course all this changes as the stock price moves. Sometimes parity is known as intrinsic value.