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Strategies & Market Trends : India Coffee House -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Mohan Marette who wrote (1707)	7/4/1998 3:34:00 PM
From: JPR	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 12475

1) <<Judging from the Sino-US relations of late it is hard to imagine that the U.S is trying to isolate China.>> Isolation is not the key word in my opinion. Military containment is the keyword. Remember that the president extracted Chinese commitment to detarget American cities from Chinese missile attacks. of course, the targets could be reset. Economic partnership and military containment form the basis of US foreign policy towards China. 2) <<Chinese economic policies will enable them to propel themselves to a superpower status while India and Russia would most likely lag behind mostly due to their own inept policies.>> Agreed 3) Nuclear capabilities will have less importance in the future as economics and quality of life will take precedence over military power. An utopian view in a world under present circumstances. The chances of economics and quality of life taking precedence over military power and spending, could be a dangerous way of living for a country and were never a survival strategy for a nation in the past. See what happened to Kuwait. If it is not for Americans, the Kuwaitis will be pumping gas at gas stations instead of pumping oil from the ground. It seems that all the little guys need Uncle Sam for protection, esp if they live in a bad neighborhood. 4) India/Russia military cooperation is heading for trouble. I heard couple of days ago [it is in all Indian papers] Yeltsin sent a letter to Vajpayee urging him to sign CTBT or else Russia would not supply any further military equipments to India. And if India refuses the most likely scenario would be that Russia will ask for their payments from India for equipments provided thus far which is close to 280 billion rupees which is about 6.5 billion dollars thus putting the squeeze on India. I wish that Russia-India axis breaks and that India and US are closer than they are now. Indians have stated that former USSR and present Russia was there for the Indians at the moments of military vulnerability. India at present is the main client for the Russian military industrial complex. It is hard to break that relationship. Russia and India are dependant on each other on a quid pro quo. Off to July 4th barbeque JPR