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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: blankmind who wrote (18647)7/4/1998 11:32:00 PM
From: joe  Respond to of 45548
 


Heavy volume...here's the specifics...

4 days == 30M + 10.5M + 10.5M + 12.5M ==> 63.5M shares

all bought within the 30-32 range.

I think COMS has about 360M shares outstanding, so
the 63.5M shares is around 17.5% of total shares.

TA interpretation anyone???

It's possible, that for the moment, we've run out of
buyers (and sellers) in this range. Maybe we now
get pushed down to the 27.5 - 30 range
as Wayne said, and fill this in a bit. Lots of people
who didn't want to pay the $30-32 range, will be buying
at this price if they believe in the company, and will
be rewarded with a price with more upside potential
than downside...anotherwords, COMS should have a bottom
somewhere close by!!

>>do you think sales will be flat?<<

Hard to say exactly so far. I think the worse is flat
sales with good chance for beating expectations. Flat
sales assume that Modems situation won't get better,
that Europe is still sluggish, and that new products
sales won't improve. Personally, being the optimist
that I am :-), I think all three will improve. A couple
of reasons I'm optimistic is that 1) new products sold
better than expected 2) Palm Pilot will give company
a little more boost every quarter 3) last summer, I heard
the same BS about slow hi-tech sales in Europe
and didn't see it.

The part I'm worried about is the Modem sales. This
may take another quarter.

Another good sign will be reduced expenses creating
higher margins - ANALysts love that. Slowly, things
are on the way to improvement....it's just that I
hate waiting.