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Technology Stocks : TAVA Technologies (TAVA-NASDAQ) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Terp who wrote (19955)7/5/1998 12:02:00 PM
From: WR  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 31646
 
From the SEEC Thread:

To: Nanda (686 )
From: THC Sunday, Jul 5 1998 8:15AM ET
Reply # of 749

At last some positive press:

It ain't much, but it's positive.....

THE YEAR 2000 PROBLEM
By Jim Moore of Year2000stocks.com
----------------------------------

Thursday, one of the most well known Y2K names on the street found itself in its own blood-bath as its pre-announcement of revenues and earnings led to its market capitalization being cut in half and left its shareholders wondering what in the world happened. Let's take a look and see if we can make some sense out of all this.

Thursday morning before its stock could get out of the starting blocks, SEEC, a provider of Y2K conversion tools and software to migrate COBOL programs, shocked Wall Street by announcing that they would fall well short of the analysts' expectations of its revenues and earnings. Before you could say "COBOL REMEDIATION", its stock, which had closed the previous day at $12.25, opened up at $8.50, and closed at $6 (down $6.25) on volume of nearly 2 million shares.

In its press release, SEEC mentioned the fact that the EPS shortfall was taking place because of "deferrals of sales" from its end-user customers. In layperson's terms, this means that their customers, or potential customers are putting their decisions off until a later time at which SEEC hopes to capture that particular business. SEEC called it a lack of urgency.

In all of this I have one question I would like to ask. Why in this world would businesses, governments, or anyone else that SEEC might have been waiting on a contract for delay repairing their Y2K problem? Don't they own a calendar? Can't they realize that we're less than 550 days away from some major technological problems unless businesses and governments take this more seriously? This question continues to perplex me. My own personal belief is that the street has created a monster that can't be fed, and CEO's don't want to answer to their own boards and executive committees as to why their own stock got whacked in half because of their own EPS shortfall because of an unexpected 3 zillion dollar charge to the bottom line because of this thing called the Year 2000 bug. Therefore they continue to put off the inevitable expenses that are needed to fix the companies' Y2K problem.

This company has traded down from 37, so value players, in my opinion, should sometime or the other begin to come in to own a Y2K company at what they hope will be bargain basement levels. (Only time will prove if they are right.) Like so many other Y2K companies, this one is just one or two good announcements away from re-ignighting its bull market flame, so take heart and watch this one very closely in the near future. According to press releases on this company, they have an estimated $30 million in cash and investments as well as working capital, so it's not like we're seeing any major burn rate that we would need to be concerned about. And they are in an industry whose best day's are still in front of it in my opinion. There are still billions of lines of code waiting to be found and remediated and the due date keeps growing closer and closer. So take heart, be patient and look for any news that would turn out to be a boom for this company. Meanwhile, keep checking out ou!
r site at year2000stocks.com for research and comments on companies that will find and repair this problem called Y2K.

[All comments are the property of Mark VIII. Under no circumstances does the comments from this or any other column represent a recommendation to buy or sell any of the companies discussed. This is not a solicitation for any transaction or any investment advice period.]

------

Thank you to everyone who sent in feedback on Jim Moore's Year 2000 commentary. About 90% of the feedback was positive and wanted us to continue the column. We also received lots of great comments and suggestions which I've given to Jim. One thing that many people asked for was more information on specific companies, and that's something we'll try to do in the future - starting with this week's column. -Jeff



To: Terp who wrote (19955)7/5/1998 12:48:00 PM
From: WR  Respond to of 31646
 
To Terp,

Remember you have to put the tpro chart and tava chart together to get the one year picture. Should be lots of news in the pipeline IMO we are looking good!

SEEC one year chart
bmiquotes.com

TPRO one year chart
bmiquotes.com

TAVA one year chart
bmiquotes.com



To: Terp who wrote (19955)7/5/1998 12:51:00 PM
From: James Strauss  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 31646
 
Jenkins Won't Win An Emmy...
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Terp:

I think the current softness in the price of TAVA can be attributed to Jenkins poor presentation on CNBC last week... Investors are still smarting from the immediate decline in the stock price during the interview... Whether the excuse is used that the interview was too short, or the questions not focused enough, is not the issue... Jenkins did not project an image of confidence or enthusiasm... He did not display the ability to think on his feet and turn each question into an oppty to tell the TAVA story... A simple statement worked in about the power grid and the possibility of factory floors accross the country coming to a halt would have created the visual images that the people watching the interview could have related to... But he didn't take advantage of this national exposure oppty... This left a question mark in my mind whether or not Jenkins has the ability to take TAVA to the next level...

With the above said... I'm still an investor, but at reduced levels... Hopefully the next few Qtrs will do so well as to make the memory of the CNBC interview fade away...

Jim