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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: put2rich who wrote (11070)7/7/1998 1:49:00 AM
From: Tai Jin  Respond to of 18691
 
If you are short on funds (hopefully, you won't get a margin call) then I think you are better off covering on any pullback and shorting again once it's clearly in a downtrend. I've always hesitated covering because I think that if I do the stock will suddenly turn around. In my experience this rarely happens and I've been much better off covering and waiting for the eventual fall. Don't try to outsmart the market, because you can't. And another painful lesson I've learned is that you must be patient before entering a short position. There's no reason to short a stock on the way up. That's called entering a losing position from the very beginning. Just be patient and wait for the stock to show clear signs of weakness and the beginnings of a downtrend. That's the smart way to short.

...tai



To: put2rich who wrote (11070)7/7/1998 2:00:00 AM
From: Steve Patterson  Respond to of 18691
 
Shorting AMZN, YHOO, or any other stock that is still rocketing upwards is like feeding a mint to Mr. Creosote and hoping he blows up. Maybe you're lucky, but more probably you've lost a mint.

Not that I think these stocks aren't absurdly overvalued, but the first rule of market bubbles (as I understand it) is that they always last longer than everyone thinks they can. The second rule is that they pop all at once (not in piddly little 5-10% corrections in a day), and they do so based on some bit of bad news that is generally impossible to anticipate without insider knowledge.

Steve