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To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (14255)7/8/1998 6:09:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116897
 
Russian protests, market plunge go on
05:09 p.m Jul 08, 1998 Eastern
By Alastair Macdonald

MOSCOW (Reuters) - Coalminers blocked the Trans-Siberian railway for a
sixth day on Wednesday in the most visible sign of a cash crunch that
has Russia racing against the clock to secure a bail-out from the
international community.

As the miners failed to reach agreement with government officials on
rapid payment of back wages, defense workers rallied in Moscow and
Vladivostok to claim their own unpaid salaries.

Arctic miners also protested, saying the government had not met promises
it made to end earlier rail blockades in May.

Some sailors of the Baltic Fleet, spearhead of the Bolshevik uprising of
1917, went on hunger strike seeking better housing.

The government, which on Tuesday won some market-soothing words of
reassurance but not yet any new funding from the International Monetary
Fund and World Bank, said it expected the IMF board to decide on a new
credit package within a month.

But investors continued to cut their risks. On the stock market, where
prices have fallen by some two-thirds so far this year, Reuters
real-time dollar-denominated index fell 3.57 percent to 87.47.

The Russian Trading System reported a 2.65 percent fall to 134.81, its
lowest level since May 1996, on reported volume of $18.35 million.

Market liquidity remained close to zero and dealers said the future
depended solely on the outcome of talks on a new aid package between
Russia and the IMF.

The $10-15 billion Russia is seeking depends on the Communist-led
parliament finally approving an anti-crisis package of economic reforms
next week.

''It will be the end of July, beginning of August before it goes to the
(IMF) board,'' Deputy Finance Minister Oleg Vyugin told Reuters.

Financial analysts said Russia might not be able to hold out beyond next
month. Failure to find new funds could leave the state unable to meet
obligations to creditors -- something Prime Minister Sergei Kiriyenko
has said Russia must never do.

''This very brittle, unstable stalemate we've had since May will
continue but, barring some really bad news, I think Russia will just
manage to get through to late August,'' Vlad Sobell of Daiwa Europe in
London told Reuters Television.

''The situation on the markets is deteriorating. We see no signs of
improvement coming up. Everyone is waiting for the IMF,'' said Margot
Jacobs of United Financial Group in Moscow.

''I wouldn't say they can hold out much longer than the end of August.
All eyes are turned on the IMF and the Russian Duma (lower house of
parliament) to come to terms.''

The Duma's pro-government deputy speaker, Vladimir Ryzhkov, said he
expected parliament to approve most of the austerity plan but forecast a
''hot'' autumn of social tensions caused by wage and pension arrears. He
said a parliamentary election due in late 1999 could be brought forward.

Yeltsin is due to go to the northwestern province of Karelia next week
for a holiday. But Kiriyenko has curtailed a planned visit to Japan and
China early next week, making him available for the Duma debate on July
15 and 16.

Russia has suffered for years from a vicious circle of debts that has
left millions of workers and pensioners short of cash.

But the federal government, which has long got by despite chronic
shortfalls in tax revenue, has felt the cash squeeze particularly
acutely in recent months due to sharply lower oil export prices and
investor nervousness spreading from Asia.

The cost of the government's short-term rouble borrowings hit 114
percent at a 35-day bill auction on Wednesday, well over double what it
cost at the start of the year. The central bank suspended a facility by
which it lent to banks at 80 percent.

The government now pays out more than a third of its income just to
service its debts. In a bid to improve revenues, Yeltsin last week
ordered giant gas monopoly Gazprom to pay back taxes.

Gazprom has responded by cutting off bad debtors, including power
companies in St Petersburg, Russia's second city, forcing generating
plants in some neighborhoods to shut off hot water.

Copyright 1998 Reuters Limited.



To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (14255)7/8/1998 6:56:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116897
 
Bobby, some material for your research on inflation/deflation :)

Japanese sell off treasures as art bubble bursts
By Juliet Hindell in Tokyo

JAPANESE art collectors who bought some of the world's most famous
paintings in the Eighties boom are selling them because of the current
financial crisis.

The sell-off is a humiliating reversal of fortunes for Japan which
acquired a taste for expensive Western art when the economy seemed
unstoppable. Sotheby's estimates that 40 per cent of the paintings it
has been asked to sell over recent months have been from Japan.
Christie's is also reporting a huge increase in the number of paintings
coming up for sale in Japan. Last year the auctioneers sold œ25 million
of art in the hands of Japanese collectors.

At the Kawamura Museum of Art in Tokyo, Japanese art lovers have been
snatching a last glimpse of 11 works by Anselm Kiefer before they leave
the country. A Japanese businessman, Harunori Takahashi, bought the
collection of the German artist's work - which once belonged to the
Saatchis - for a reported œ8 million in 1988. But after the collapse of
Mr Takahashi's two companies, he decided to sell. The British art dealer
Entwistle paid œ4 million for them.

Roberta Entwistle, director of Entwistle Art, said: "We first saw them
in a warehouse full of fridges and sewing machines, they've never been
on show in Japan." Before taking the works out of Japan however, the new
owners thought that they should be seen, and two exhibitions have been
held in the last six months.

Mrs Entwistle said: "You have to admire the Japanese collector. He chose
an avant garde artist when for the same money he could have bought
famous Impressionists like most people in Japan."

The story of the Kiefer paintings is typical. The Japanese bought huge
numbers of paintings from Europe and America when the economy was
booming in the Eighties "bubble period". What is now dubbed "bubble art"
is being sold by the Japanese and most of it is ending up back in the
West.

Van Gogh's Sunflowers and his portrait of Doctor Gachet were bought by
the Japanese for record prices. Sunflowers is still on display at the
headquarters of Yasuda Fire and Marine Insurance in Tokyo and the
company has no plans to sell.

But the fate of Doctor Gachet is less certain. When Ryoei Saito bought
it for œ50 million in 1990 he shocked the world by pledging to have it
cremated with him. The painting survived Mr Saito who died in 1996 but
it could soon be sold by his heirs. Last year they sold Renoir's Le
Moulin de la Galette for œ30 million - œ17 million less than they paid
for it. Many other works are selling for much less than the Japanese
paid out.

Some Japanese collectors are making a profit. The art market in America
is booming and Monet's Le Grand Canal sold in May for œ7.2 million,
reportedly to Paul Allen, co-founder of Microsoft. The Japanese owner
bought it for œ6 million in 1990. Few will be so lucky.



To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (14255)7/8/1998 8:15:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116897
 
"The millennium bug is snowballing into a $US600bn ($1tr) global disaster
that will cut global economic growth and lead to a period of deflation
immediately after the turn of the century, according to a major report
issued yesterday."

afr.com.au