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To: goldsnow who wrote (14312)7/9/1998 7:31:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116756
 
INSIGHT -- Dollar builds momentum versus Europe
NEW YORK, July 9 (Reuters) - The dollar had strong technical momentum
versus European currencies on Thursday, with the rally led by a sharp
spike higher against the Swiss franc to beat five-year highs.
The rise in dollar/Swiss to 1.5451 led dollar/mark higher, although some
chartists required the pair to close above the August 6 high at 1.5387
on a weekly basis to prove its legs.

But dollar/Swiss's move opened up the topside for dollar/mark above
1.8225 as it headed toward the top of a year-long pennant formation at
1.8425/50, said David Solin, partner at Foreign Exchange Analytics.

''The view is if you want to be long dollar/Europe, obviously with Swiss
rates so low, that's probably the place to be,'' Solin said.

Mark Roberts, technical analyst at I.D.E.A. Inc., called the
dollar/Swiss rise the last leg of a year-long irregular correction that
could be completed at 1.57 or 1.5750 over the next two weeks, although
not in a straight line.

Roberts said dollar/mark is not set up for gains of dollar/Swiss
magnitude and would probably fall short of the August high atop 1.89.
But for the near-term, dollar/mark was poised to extend its run toward
1.86.

Meanwhile, some technicians said dollar/yen tempered the upside slope of
its contracting triangle as it chipped away above the 141 level. Despite
the run higher they expected the broad range to continue for the
near-term.

''In the big picture, it's just stuck in these ranges as the market
bides time with the election coming out and the market waiting to see if
Japan will do anything'' in the way of substantive economic stimulus,''
Solin said.

Roberts doubted the triangle pattern, instead focusing on the recent
significant high of 141.75 of July 2. Dollar/yen would hit strong
resistance there, he said.

''Basically we have a seven-day range and 141.75 is the ceiling. We
might push through by 20 ticks but I'm looking for a reversal at that
stage,'' Roberts said, adding the move was a consolidation of losses
from late June highs above 143 yen.

He said the July 1 low of 137.43 provided ''not much support'' and the
gap to 133.60 could be filled over the next couple of weeks.

At noon, the dollar was higher at 141.25/30 yen from 140.25/35 at the
open. It was firm at 1.8298/08 marks from 1.8290/95 but fading at
1.5418/28 Swiss from 1.5450/60.

biz.yahoo.com