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Gold/Mining/Energy : GEAC.....Canadian best kept secret -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: robnhood who wrote (384)7/10/1998 7:58:00 PM
From: robnhood  Respond to of 1571
 
I see I know when to leave my children unattended, <g>...

same market as when I left at 12.30...




To: robnhood who wrote (384)7/10/1998 8:57:00 PM
From: make.it.co  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1571
 
if levesque hasn't adjusted their target for geac i suspect they will do so soon.

using a multiple of 25 is awfully high for a company expecting little internal growth.

i'm betting that geac mgmt assumed they had tax writeoffs when they forecast little growth in the upcoming year. my point - they've already taken this into consideration, so don't expect a windfall. $3.10 might be acheivable. but that's only 10% higher than the earnings this year, so i wouldn't use a multiple of 25.

the safe thing to do, especially with market sentiment so negative at the moment on the stock, is to be conservative with forecasts (ie. use a multiple of 15 times $3.00 per share and add a $5 premium for future acquisitions = $50). holders of the stock should feel pretty safe at these levels (ie. it's like taking a defensive position in the market during times when multiples in general are so high). then if geac ever does another big acquisition the stock should get a "pop", and holders of the stock will feel like their holding a winning ticket in a lottery.

of course, not everybody likes to buy lottery tickets!

perhaps this is why so many of the analysts have targets between $50 and $60.